LATE NIGHT POWER-SLAM ~ 17-9 L26 NCAAB!
- Handicapper
- Power Sports
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Fresno State vs Nevada
- Time
- 01/21/2022 11:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Nevada -1.5 (-110)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- 8* Nevada (11:00 ET): It’s been a tough run for the Wolf Pack as of late, particularly at the betting window. This team hasn’t covered a spread since November, although that’s a little misleading as they only played three games in December. One of those was not lined (against MN-Duluth), but it’s still an 0-6 ATS run heading into Friday. Nevada is 3-3 straight up in those six games, alternating wins and losses along the way. They are off a loss here, 77-67 to Wyoming, so if the pattern holds that means they are set to get back in the win column. A win would almost certainly mean a cover. That’s what I’m banking on here.
Now Fresno State comes into Reno on a bit of a run. The Bulldogs have won and covered three straight, beating San Jose State, UNLV and Utah State, all as a favorite. FSU is 12-4 ATS on the year, which is one of the best cover rates in the country, but Nevada is an opponent that has given them all sorts of trouble through the years. The last eight head to head meetings have all been won by the Wolf Pack, including two double digit decisions here in Reno last season.
Now it was a home loss for Nevada last time out. It was close most of the way vs. Wyoming, but things got away from the Wolf Pack down the stretch. The final margin was the most they trailed by the entire game. I see this team being eager to not lose two in a row at home. They’ve got the oddsmakers’ respect being favored against Wyoming and Fresno State, two of the four Mountain West teams that are 13-4 SU or better. That’s probably because all four of FSU’s losses this season have come on the road where they are averaging only 62.9 PPG. 8* Nevada
