Matt Fargo - St. Bonaventure vs Duquesne

Fargo's 10* Atlantic 10 Game of the Month

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NCAAB
Competition
St. Bonaventure vs Duquesne
Time
01/21/2022 07:00 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
St. Bonaventure -5.5 (-110) (Caesars)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our Atlantic Ten Game of the Month. St. Bonaventure had a long layoff because of COVID protocols and won its first two games including its first home game in over a month last Friday against VCU but came up small in its last game at Dayton. The Bonnies are 1-1 on the road that includes a win over LaSalle and they are getting a much better spread here against a team that is only two points better in power ranking numbers yet laying four points less on Friday. The Bonnies have not suffered back-to-back A-10 losses since Feb. 26-29, 2020, and they have played the third toughest schedule of all A-10 teams. Duquesne has lost two straight games following a three-game winning streak and it too has had to deal with a long layoff between December and January. The Dukes are 1-2 in the conference which includes a bad loss against Fordham and most recently, a 20-point loss against Dayton at home where they are 3-4 with the three wins coming against Rider, American and New Hampshire, which are ranked No. 303, No. 328 and No. 230 in the nation respectively. The Dukes are one of the worst defensive teams in the country as they are ranked No. 330 in shooting defense including No. 339 in three-point shooting defense. Dukes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Here, we play on road teams coming off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, with all five starters returning from last season. This situation is 64-30 ATS (68.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (885) St. Bonaventure Bonnies

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