Al McMordie - Evansville vs Illinois State

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Handicapper
Al McMordie
League
NCAAB
Competition
Evansville vs Illinois State
Time
01/21/2022 07:00 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Evansville +7.5 (-110) (BetMGM)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Illinois State. The Aces come into tonight's game off back to back blowout losses to Bradley (79-47) and Loyola-Chicago (77-48), and have won just 4 of 16 games. Meanwhile, Illinois State is 9-9, and has covered 6 of 7. The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against Evansville tonight, especially given the single-digit point spread. But NCAA teams off back to back 25-point (or worse) losses have covered 72 of 115 vs. .500 (or better) foes, when our 'play-on' team (here, Evansville) wasn't getting 10+ points. That bodes well for Evansville tonight. As does the fact that it's 11-3-1 ATS at Illinois State, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS off a SU/ATS loss. Take Evansville + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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