Matt Fargo - Va Commonwealth vs St. Bonaventure

Fargo's 10* CBB Friday Enforcer (34-19 YTD)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NCAAB
Competition
Va Commonwealth vs St. Bonaventure
Time
01/14/2022 07:30 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
St. Bonaventure -2 (-112) (BetRivers)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our Atlantic Ten Game of the Month. This is the ultimate contrarian play with the Bonnies riding a 0-7 ATS run while VCU is on a 6-0 ATS surge and yet the Bonnies are favored. St. Bonaventure has endured what a lot of teams have gone through and that is extended time off because of COVID and it showed last game. The Bonnies traveled to Philadelphia to take on LaSalle in its first conference game of the season and it was not a pretty win as they won in overtime by four points as a 9.5-point favorite. St. Bonaventure was off for 25 days because of postponements and they were clearly not game ready but luckily they were facing one of the worst teams in the conference. This is their first home game in 36 days so we will see an inspired effort. The Bonnies are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games off a road win against a conference rival. The Rams are on a 7-0 run including a 3-0 start in the conference. The public loves riding streaks and there are two in play here which we gladly go against especially with the negative team laying the number. The Rams are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 Friday games. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games going up against an opponent after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games. This situation is 112-68 ATS (62.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (890) St. Bonaventure Bonnies

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