Ben Burns - Va Commonwealth vs St. Bonaventure

*ALERT* A-10 GAME OF THE YEAR! (10 STRAIGHT?)

Handicapper
Ben Burns
League
NCAAB
Competition
Va Commonwealth vs St. Bonaventure
Time
01/14/2022 07:30 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
St. Bonaventure -2 (-112) (BetRivers)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
I'm playing on ST. BONAVENTURE. Recent struggles at the betting window for the Bonnies have worked in our favor in keeping this line lower than it otherwise could have been. I feel that a visit from the Rams will be just what the doctor ordered for the talented hosts and that they're providing us with excellent value. The Bonnies are 5-1 at home. Every victory has been by at least three points. The last time that they were small home favorites, less than -3, they hammered Marquette by a 70-54 score. They've also beaten Boise, Buffalo, Clemson while favored at home, by leass than four points. The Rams are 0-3 ATS the past three times that they road underdogs of three or fewer points. They're 18-29 ATS their last 47 in that role. While the Rams are stingy on defense, they average only 63 points per game on offense. The Bonnies are averaging more than 70, more than 78 per game, here at home. The Bonnies make 47.7% of their field goals here compared to 41.2% on the road for VCU. The last meeting on this floor saw the Bonnies favored by three points. They won by a 70-54 score. The Rams' roll comes to an end here. 

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