Matt Fargo - Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Fargo's 10* NBA Wednesday Enforcer 28-21 Run

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NBA
Competition
Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Time
11/24/2021 08:10 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Miami Heat +1.5 (-110) (William Hill)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with Minnesota on Monday as it took care of New Orleans, jumping out to a 26-point lead and never looking back but things get tougher here at home. Part of the reason we played the Timberwolves was because of their success against the poor teams in the league and after that victory Minnesota is 1-6 against the top 16 in the league while now 7-3 against teams below that. Minnesota has won four straight games to move a game under .500 and this includes a 5-6 record at home. The Timberwolves are 6-13-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Miami is coming off a win over Detroit last night and it has now won five of its last six games to keep its lead in the Southeast Division lead by a half-game over Washington. The Heat defense has picked things up after a bit of a lull as they have allowed fewer than 100 points in four of their last five games and are now allowing 101.8 ppg overall which is second best in the NBA. They are ninth in the league in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage and this is easily the best defense that the Timberwolves have faced over this recent winning streak. Playing on a back-to-back has been no issue for Miami as the Heat are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games playing on no rest. Here, we play against home underdogs off a road win by 10 points or more going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Miami Heat

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