Sean Murphy - Stony Brook vs Fairfield

CBB AFTERNOON TOTAL DOMINATOR [13-6 RUN]

Handicapper
Sean Murphy
League
NCAAB
Competition
Stony Brook vs Fairfield
Time
11/24/2021 02:00 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Stony Brook vs Fairfield Under 134.5 (-110) (DraftKings)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
My selection is on the 'under' between Stony Brook and Fairfield at 2 pm et on Wednesday. These two teams met right around a year ago with that game reaching 141 points to topple the closing total of 131.5. We're dealing with a higher posted total in this rematch but I'm not sure the move is warranted. There was nothing exceptional that either team did in last year's matchup. In fact, both teams shot around 40% from the field, they combined to knock down only nine three-point attempts and missed a whopping 23 free throws. That game saw just 55 first half points. Only a late scoring flurry, aided by free throws, ended up pushing the game 'over' the total. I like the way this sets up as a bounce-back spot for Stony Brook defensively. It has allowed all three opponents to shoot 50% or better this season but keep in mind, two of its three games came against quality foes in George Mason and Kansas, both on the road no less. Fairfield has shot 42.9% or worse in three of four games this season with the other coming against little-known Medgar Evers. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 35-22 in Stony Brook's last 57 lined contests and 40-21 in Fairfield's last 61. Take the under (8*).

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