Matt Fargo - Connecticut vs Auburn

Fargo's 10* CBB Wednesday Enforcer (10-5 YTD)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NCAAB
Competition
Connecticut vs Auburn
Time
11/24/2021 02:30 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Auburn +3.5 (-110) (William Hill)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. Connecticut and Auburn are both off to undefeated starts as they meet in the first round of the Battle 4 Atlantis. The Huskies have had a cakewalk through their first four games of the season and this is their first non-conference, top-25 matchup since 2016-2017. The Connecticut strength is the frontcourt but it will be tested here as Auburn is led by freshman Jabari Smith and North Carolina transfer Walker Kessler. Smith is projected as the No. 1 draft pick on some boards and the while the Tigers can clog it down low, they love to run and look for open threes. Auburn has not really been tested either but its nonconference schedule has been stronger as the schedule rating is 198 compared to 358 for the Huskies which is the lowest in the country. The Tigers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win while Connecticut is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games away from home after two straight wins by 20 points or more. Here, we play on teams after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (746) Auburn Tigers

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