TOM'S 17-0 ATS NCAA PERFECT DATABASE WAGER
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- New Mexico vs Wyoming
- Time
- 10/23/2021 03:30 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Wyoming -19.5 (-114)
(BetRivers)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #370 WYOMING (-) over New Mexico at 3:30 PM EST
Far from pleased off back-to-back SU and ATS losses to Air Force and Fresno State, Wyoming will bring their absolute best to War Memorial Stadium on Saturday. The Cowboys haven't forgotten about their embarrassing blemish in Las Vegas to the Lobos last year (-16 and lost outright 17-16) and they will be out for revenge. New Mexico limps into this Mountain West battle on a woeful 0-5 SU and ATS run (avg loss 24.4 ppg) and head coach Danny Gonzalez and his kids don't match up well in this contest at all. Let's take a look inside the numbers.
The fact that this game is being played in Laramie really helps our cause. At home, Wyoming owns a profitable 24-8 SU and 20-7 ATS record in its last 32 games including a solid 11-4 SU and 10-2 ATS in this set provided the Cowboys take the field off a straight up loss. In addition, in a revenge mode tackling an opponent that checks in off two or more straight up losses, head coach Craigh Bohl's boys hold a money-making 16-8 ATS mark including an incredible 12-1 ATS in this set provided the 'Boys own a team won/loss percentage of .450 or better. Finally, college football favorites priced at -7 or more hold a reliable 30-19-1 ATS record provided they got shutout at home in their last game. If this is a conference battle, our "play on" side jets to a solid 20-10-1 ATS.
Statistically, this is a nightmare matchup for New Mexico. The Lobos are averaging only 14.0 point and 253.5 yards per game, and they are going to have a number of problems trying to move the football on a Cowboys stop unit that has allowed an average of only 22.3 points and 319.8 yards per game. To make matters worse, UNM hold a disgraceful 9-36 SU and 11-31 ATS mark in its last 45 battles including a hideous 2-7 SU and 0-9 ATS in their last nine in this setting tackling a foe that checks in off two or more straight up losses. Lastly, Coach Gonzalez's kids are a woeful 3-29 SU and 8-24 ATS in their last 32 conference matchups including a jaw-dropping 0-17 SU and ATS if their opponent played in the comforts of home last. Please note: Those 17 losses came by an average of 20.8 points per game.
After missing their Homecoming in 2020 because of COVID-19, the Cowboys will make sure this revenge victory will be a memorable one. Take Wyoming. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
