ASA CFB 3-PACK
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- Temple vs South Florida
- Time
- 10/23/2021 07:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Temple +2.5 (-110)
(Caesars)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #359 ASA PLAY ON 8* Temple +2.5 over South Florida, Saturday at 7:00 PM ET - This is a perfect spot to play on Temple who we have power rated as the better team in this game. The Owls had last week off after getting trounced @ Cincinnati. No alarm with that game as the Bearcats have shown they are going all in on attempting to destroy lesser competition to make a statement with the selection committee. Last week Cincy beat a solid UCF team by 35 points so they rolling over everyone they possibly can. While Temple was resting last week, USF lost a 1-point game as Tulsa scored a TD with 47 seconds remaining to grab the 36-35 win. The Bulls will be demoralized after that loss. However, while it may look like they played Tulsa tough, USF was destroyed in the stat sheet. The Bulls were outgained 535 to 268 and out rushed by 2.0 YPC. Tulsa had 3 turnovers in the game (1 for USF) and in the 2nd quarter the Bulls scored 3 TD’s on a 12 yard drive after a turnover, a 69 yard pick 6, and a 100 yard kickoff return. As you can see the score was quite misleading. The fact is USF has not beaten an FBS opponent since 2019 which means they are 0-17 SU their last 17 vs FBS opponents! If you throw out their game vs Florida A&M, who they only outgained by 24 yards, USF has been outgained in every game by a combined 1,105 yards in their other 5 contests or an average of -221 YPG. Temple, prior to getting smoked by Cincinnati, had been playing their best FB. They had outgained 4 straight opponents entering their game vs Cincy and they were coming off a win over Memphis. The Owls are getting outgained by an average of just 8 YPG but their YPP differential on the season is +0.2. They also played 2 games this season without their starting QB Mathis (Georgia transfer) but they have a 2-2 record with him in the line up with their only losses coming @ Rutgers & @ Cincinnati. The Owls defense has played very well for the most part allowing just 5.2 YPP which is nearly a full 2 YPP better than USF’s stop unit that allowed 7.0 YPP. Temple is the better overall team in the much better situation and they are getting points. Play Temple.
