Fargo's CFB Saturday Enforcer (61% YTD)
- Handicapper
- Matt Fargo
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- UTSA vs Louisiana Tech
- Time
- 10/23/2021 07:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Louisiana Tech +7 (-110)
(Caesars)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Louisiana Tech last week against UTEP in a 19-3 loss. This comes after averaging 33.4 ppg in its first five games so we can chalk up last week as an aberration. The Bulldogs are 2-4 and those four losses have come against teams a combined 20-5. The Bulldogs are having struggles on defense, but they represent a team that has been a bowl team for the better part of the last decade so the experience is big. This is an interesting line as Louisiana Tech was favored by close to a touchdown last week on the road and is now a home underdog against a team with a similar record, separated by just one game. UTSA comes in a perfect 7-0 and ranked No 24 in the nation, the first time the program has ever been ranked. The UTSA win over Memphis was solid but it was only by three points and the other five games came against teams a combined 8-23. The Roadrunners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game while the Bulldogs are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (402) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs