Matt Fargo - Wisconsin vs Purdue

Fargo's CFB Saturday Triple Play (61% YTD)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NCAAF
Competition
Wisconsin vs Purdue
Time
10/23/2021 03:00 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Wisconsin -3 (-110) (Caesars)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. We won with Purdue last week as the Boilermakers dominated then No. 2 Iowa in a 24-7 win on the road. That makes this a slight letdown spot despite what is on the line. They had the benefit of having a bye week to prepare for the Hawkeyes so that was a big edge and Wisconsin is a tough team to prepare for with its multiple running sets. Wisconsin slipped past Army 20-14 last Saturday and with the Iowa loss, the Badgers now control their own destiny in the Big Ten West as if they win out, they are in the Big Ten Conference Championship game. Wisconsin is 2-4 against the number as it has been favored in all of its games and it is laying a small number here. The other two games where the Badgers were laying a single-digit number came against Notre Dame and Michigan, which are a combined 11-1. Despite the win over Iowa, Purdue cannot be put into that group. The Badgers still have a solid defense as they are ranked No. 2 overall, No. 3 against the run and No. 8 against the pass. Here, we play against home underdogs off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. The Badgers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a road favorite. 9* (393) Wisconsin Badgers

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