Matt Fargo - Clemson vs Pittsburgh

Fargo's CFB Saturday Triple Play (61% YTD)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NCAAF
Competition
Clemson vs Pittsburgh
Time
10/23/2021 03:35 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Clemson +3.5 (-110) (Caesars)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. Clemson was involved in yet another close game at won by three points at Syracuse last Friday to fall to 0-6 against the number. Herein is where the difference lies. The Tigers were favorites in all six of those games, five by double-digits and now they are underdogs for the first time this season. This breaks a streak of 60 consecutive regular season games where Clemson has been the favorite. The offense is dead last in the ACC, averaging just 20.5 ppg but the defense has made up for it, allowing a mere 12.5 ppg which is tops in the ACC and No. 2 in the country. Pittsburgh brings in a high-powered offense which has led to a 5-1 overall record including 2-0 in the ACC. The Panthers have not faced a defense like this however as the best defense they have faced led them to a season low in points. If Clemson wins, this could very well be a preview of the ACC Championship as Pittsburgh has a game and a half lead in the Coastal Division while the Tigers are just a game out in the Atlantic Division with a 3-1 ACC record which is good despite some struggles. The Tigers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games. Here, we play on road teams with a defense that allows 8.0 or fewer ppg in the first half, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 31-11 ATS (73.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (343) Clemson Tigers

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