25* MLB DIVISIONAL RUN-LINE OF THE YEAR
- Hollywood Sports
- Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers
- 09/14/2021 08:05 PM
- Bet Type
- Run Line
Houston Astros -1.5 (-130)
- At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the Houston Astros (923) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Texas Rangers (924) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Jordan Lyles. THE SITUATION: Houston (84-59) has won five of their last seven games after their 15-1 victory against the Rangers in the opening game of this series. Texas (53-90) has still won six of their last eight games.
REASONS TO TAKE THE ASTROS MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: Houston should build off the momentum of their easy win last night. The Astros have won 16 of their last 20 games on the road after scoring at least eight runs in their last game. Houston clubbed five home runs last night — and they have then won 5 of their last 6 games after hitting at least four homers in their last game. The Astros have won 21 of their last 31 games on the road when favored — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games. They give the ball to Greinke who has an 11-5 record with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in 27 starts. The veteran right-hander has been more effective on the road with a 2.89 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .225 in 13 starts. Houston has won 5 of their last 7 road games with Greinke pitching as a money-line favorite priced at -110 or higher. He faces a Rangers team that scores only 3.9 Runs-Per-Game on the road — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. Texas has lost 49 of their last 71 games after a loss — and they have lost 38 of their last 55 games after scoring no more than two runs in their last game. They have also lost 17 of their last 25 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And they have lost 6 of their last 7 games after winning six or seven of their last eight. The Rangers have lost 6 of their last 7 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 7 of their last 10 home games as a money-line underdog. They counter with Lyles who has an 8-11 record with a 5.43 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP this season. The right-hander comes off a rare strong outing where he only gave up one earned run in seven innings of work at Arizona last Tuesday. But Lyles was saddled with a 7.60 ERA, 1.72 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .329 in his six starts in August. The Rangers have lost 12 of their last 17 games with Lyles pitching on at least seven days of rest. He faces a hot-hitting Astros team that is scoring 7.3 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .319 Batting Average, .394 On-Base Percentage, and an OPS of .935 during that span. Houston has won their last 4 games against right-handed starting pitchers.
FINAL TAKE: The Astros have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 35 of their 44 victories when priced at -155 or higher — and they have covered the -1.5 Run-Line in 20 of these last 24 circumstances. The Rangers have failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 37 of their 45 losses this season when priced at +145 or higher — including 29 of these last 32 circumstances. 25* MLB American League West Run-Line of the Year with the Houston Astros (923) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the Texas Rangers (924) listing both starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Jordan Lyles. Best of luck for us — Frank.