Larry Ness - Milwaukee Brewers vs Detroit Tigers

Larry's MLB Las Vegas Insider: 23-12 s/May 25

Handicapper
Larry Ness
League
MLB
Competition
Milwaukee Brewers vs Detroit Tigers
Time
09/14/2021 06:40 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Milwaukee Brewers vs Detroit Tigers Under 9 (-110) (5Dimes)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on Mil/Det Under at 6:40 ET. Milwaukee barely made the expanded playoff field in 2020, 'sneaking' in at 29-31. However, the Brewers have no such worries in 2021, as at 89-55 they own a 14-game lead over the Reds in the NL Central. Detroit has no playoff aspirations, as the tigers check in at 68-76 (.472). That said, Detroit fans have to be happy that the Tigers are MUCH more respectable this season, after losing 98, 98 and 114 games from 2017 thru 2019, then going 23-35 (.397) in 2020's COVID-shortened season. These are two teams that normally struggle to plate runs on the best of nights and I expect that to be the case in the opener of this interleague series. Milwaukee hands the ball to Freddy Peralta (9-4, 2.69 ERA), who gave up three runs over four innings in a no-decision to the Phillies in his last outing. It was his second start since returning from the injured list. He should be given the green light to now throw deeper and he'll be feeling confident as he's 5-2 with a 3.00 ERA on the road. The Tigers counter with Wily Peralta (3-3, 3.60), who is coming off a great outing against the Pirates on Tuesday, allowing one run over four innings, unfortunate to receive a no-decision. The Brewers are allowing just 3.23 RPG on the road this year, so Detroit is going to have its hands full with the playoff-bound Brewers in this series. Either way, look for these two starters to battle into the latter frames, and as a result, expect this total to stay firmly under the posted number. Good luck...Larry

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