Sean Murphy - Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies

16-5 MLB RUN! 9* TUESDAY NIGHT O/U ROUT!

Handicapper
Sean Murphy
League
MLB
Competition
Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies
Time
09/14/2021 07:05 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Over 9.5 (+102) (5Dimes)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. Believe it or not, despite yet another series loss - this one coming at home against the lowly Rockies - the Phillies are still in the hunt for an N.L. Wild Card spot, currently sitting just 2.5 games back of the second spot. Here, I expect to see plenty of offensive fireworks as they open an important three-game set against the Cubs. Note that the 'over' has gone 9-1 with the Cubs seeking revenge for a home loss by six runs or more this season, as is the case here, with that situation producing a whopping average total of 15.6 runs. Meanwhile, the 'over' has cashed at an incredible 16-3 clip in Phillies starter Kyle Gibson's September outings over the course of his career, good for an average total of 11.7 runs. The wheels have come off for Gibson lately as he's been tagged for 11 earned runs on 15 hits in just 10 innings of work over his last two starts. The Cubs got their bats going a bit on their most recent homestand and should benefit from playing at hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park this week. Note that both bullpens have been unreliable lately with the Phillies relief corps posting a collective 7.86 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over their last seven games and Cubs relievers combining to record a 5.52 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over the same stretch. Take the over (9*).

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