LATE NIGHT POWER-STRIKE ~ *HOT* 9-2-1 L12!
- Handicapper
- Power Sports
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
- Time
- 07/30/2021 10:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
San Diego Padres -177
(5D Reduced Juice)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- 6* San Diego (10:10 ET): The Padres are looking to erase the memory of earlier this month when they became the first team this season to lose B2B home games to the Rockies. The road has certainly been an adventure for the Rockies this year as they are an awful 11-39 and averaging just 3.1 runs per game. They are on an 8-37 run when priced between +175 and +250 on the road, as they are here, including 2-17 this season. Given last night’s 3-0 shutout, I see no reason why the Padres won’t win again tonight.
They might only be in third place in their own division, but San Diego is one of the better teams in baseball. Only six teams have a better YTD run differential. It just happens to be unfortunate that they are in the same division as the Giants and Dodgers. But being in the same division as the Rockies is a benefit. No team in the National League has more home victories this year than San Diego’s 35. They should have won by more than three last night, but had two runners thrown out at the plate (in the same inning!).
Ryan Weathers will look to replicate the strong outing Joe Musgrove gave the Padres on Thursday. Weathers was injured when he faced Colorado back on July 11th (the final day before the All-Star Break) and has only pitched one time since. That was last Saturday when he threw four shutout innings vs. Miami. He should pitch well here. Jon Gray has a 1-7 TSR on the road for the Rockies, who are 22-38 off a loss this season and 2-10 L12 games at San Diego. 6* San Diego