Ben's RUNLINE SPECIAL VIOLATOR! > 69-33 RUN!
- Handicapper
- Ben Burns
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels
- Time
- 07/30/2021 09:38 PM
- Bet Type
- Run Line
- Pick
-
Los Angeles Angels +1.5 (-145)
(5D Reduced Juice)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- I'm playing LA on the run-line (+1.5 runs) While I like the Angels' chances of winning this one "outright," in my opinion, this one has a higher than normal likelihood of resulting in close game. That said, I'm happy to have an extra +1.5 runs to work with. Note that Bassitt's last start was a 1-run game and that Sandoval's last start was also a 1-run game. When these two opposed each other twice back in the spring, Oakland won both games. Sandoval is in much better form now than he was then though. Last time out, he struck out 13 batters while allowing a single run, through 8 2/3 innings. He's gone at least seven innings in three straight starts and he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in 11 of 12. (Four in the other.) Of those 12 games, he allowed two or fewer earned runs in eight of them. That makes it tough to win by more than a run. The Angels still have more home wins (29) than Oakland has road wins (28). Expect them to bounce back with AT LEAST the "run line cover."
