OSKEIM SPORTS' 34-9 MLB 2-PICK PACKAGE
- Handicapper
- Oskeim Sports
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
- Time
- 05/06/2021 01:05 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
New York Yankees -182
(5D Reduced Juice)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- New York ace Gerrit Cole takes the mound with a 1.43 ERA, 0.47 FIP and 1.57 ERA in six starts this season, posting a 14.81 K/9 rate and a 0.72 BB/9 rate in 37.2 innings pitched. Cole is backed by an elite bullpen that owns a 2.24 ERA (1st), 2.79 FIP (2nd), 10.83 K/9 (4th), and a 0.70 HR/9 (4th). Houston starter Lance McCullers, Jr. has struggled with his control this season (4.73 BB/9) and has been kept afloat by an unsustainable .213 BABIP. Opposing batters are squaring up on McCullers' offerings as evidenced by his 35.5% Hard Contact rate.
The run line falls into very strong 50-16, 43-13, and 34-9 systems of mine that are a combined 8-0 this season. What we want to do is invest against certain road underdogs averaging between 4.4 and 4.9 runs per game and an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last fifteen games versus a starting pitcher with a 3.50 ERA or better. With Cole standing at 25-7 against the run line after giving up 1 or fewer earned runs in his last outing and 20-6 against the run line with five or six days of rest over the past three seasons, take the Yankees on the ML and RL and invest with confidence.