Sean's 10* MLB THURSDAY EVENING O/U ROUT!
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins
- Time
- 05/06/2021 06:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Over 7.5 (+105)
(5D Reduced Juice)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Miami at 6:40 pm et on Thursday.
Both of these lineups have gotten a little healthier this week with the D'Backs welcoming back regular clean-up hitter Christian Walker and the Marlins getting back Brian Anderson. It's been a lopsided series so far with the Marlins doing most of the damage offensively. I look for both teams to take part on Thursday, however, as this total should prove too low. Madison Bumgarner has turned back the clock over his last few starts, most notably tossing a seven-inning no-hitter against the Braves two starts back. I question whether he can keep it up though. Note that the Marlins have hit considerably better against left-handed starters this season (.252 as a team), averaging 4.9 runs per game. Meanwhile, the D'Backs will face right-hander Pablo Lopez, noting that they're averaging 5.2 runs per contest against righty starters this season. Concerning for the Snakes here is their awful bullpen, which entered last night's action having posted a 5.30 ERA on the season, with that number ballooning to 8.58 over their last seven games. The Marlins 'pen has been far better but a 4.14 home ERA (entering last night's game) is nothing to write home about. This has been a reasonably high-scoring series in recent years with the 'over' going 5-2-2 in nine previous meetings over the last three seasons. Take the over (10*).