Sean Murphy - Indiana State vs Valparaiso

Sean's 10* CBB FALSE FAVE GAME OF THE MONTH!

Handicapper
Sean Murphy
League
NCAAB
Competition
Indiana State vs Valparaiso
Time
02/26/2021 07:00 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Valparaiso +3 (-101) (5D Reduced Juice)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
CBB False Favorite Game of the Month. My selection is on Valparaiso plus the points over Indiana State at 7 pm et on Friday. I like the way this one sets up for Valpo as it comes in battle-tested off three straight games decided by three points or less. The fact it went 1-2 in those three contests should help keep its motivation level high for this one as it hosts Indiana State. Valpo is 5-1 in the last six meetings in this series but dropped a double-digit decision against the Sycamores the last time they matched up last February. Here we find the Crusaders 11-3 when having lost four or five of their last six games over the last two seasons, outscoring opponents by an average margin of nearly two points in that situation. They're also an incredible 70-36 ATS when coming off a road loss, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 3.8 points. Indiana State has certainly been rolling along but might have a tough time keeping the positive momentum building here having not played in the last nine days. Take Valparaiso (10*).

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