Oskeim Sports - New Mexico State vs Tarleton St

OSKEIM SPORTS' HUGE WAC GAME OF THE YEAR

Handicapper
Oskeim Sports
League
NCAAB
Competition
New Mexico State vs Tarleton St
Time
02/26/2021 08:00 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Tarleton St +8.5 (-110) (BetOnline)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
New Mexico State is one of the most overvalued college basketball teams in the nation as the Aggies are a money-burning 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last seven road affairs versus teams with a .501 or greater home record and 0-4 ATS in their previous four games following a win. The Aggies also struggle to maintain point spread success as evidenced by their 6-14-1 ATS mark after covering the Vegas number in their previous game. Tarleton State is 4-2 at home this season where it's averaging 88.7 points per game on 49.8% shooting from the field and 38.8% from beyond the arc. Overall, Tarleton State is ranked 42nd in the nation in FG% (47.25) and 14th in 3-PT% (39.08). I also like the fact that the Texans 40th in the country in free throw attempts per game (21.7) and 37th in free throws made per game (15.6). The Texans lead the nation in steals per game (11.4) and grade out as the better team in almost every conceivable metric. Finally, my math model only favors New Mexico State by 3.15 points in this game so we are getting excellent line value with Tarleton State. Grab the points with the Texans and invest with confidence.

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