Wayne Root - Richmond vs Saint Louis

CBB INSIDERS SHOCKER UPSET GAME OF MONTH

Handicapper
Wayne Root
League
NCAAB
Competition
Richmond vs Saint Louis
Time
02/26/2021 07:00 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Richmond +4.5 (-103) (5D Reduced Juice)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
Gold Standard on Richmond St. Louis is currently struggling to score and this is a matchup of two solid defensive teams. Both teams have slowed their pace down in conference play and I don't expect there to be a lot of transition points in this one. With that being said, a close low scoring game will bring the points into play. Don’t mistake that both can play offense but won’t score at will if the tempo of the game is slowed to a crawl. Five points feel like way too many as I'd make this game closer to a pickem. Richmond has the top-ranked offense in the A10 and they also rarely turn the ball over. The Spiders are shooting a terrific 81% from the free-throw line and the Billikens foul at a very high rate. St. Louis has the highest assist rate in the A10 but the Spiders limit assists at the highest rate in the A10. The Spiders have key wins over Kentucky, Loyola Chicago, and Davidson away from their home court. A win against St. Louis on the road would be huge for their tournament profile. With St. Louis struggling to shoot the three-ball, it's going to be hard for them to keep up with Richmond's prolific offense.

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