TOM'S 34-10 ATS NCAA MACTION POWER ANGLE PLAY
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- Akron vs Bowling Green
- Release Date
- 11/18/2025 10:58 AM
- Event Date
- 11/18/2025 07:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Akron +3 (-105)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #103 AKRON (+) over Bowling Green at 7 PM EST
The Zips apply to three different technical situations that boast elite records of 40-7 ATS, 146-92 ATS, and 110-53 ATS and they are in prime position to knock off the Falcons under the Tuesday night lights. Bowling Green stumbles into this MACtion contest on a dismal 0-4 SU and ATS run and, right now, the Falcons are in no position to be laying points to anyone.
Off last week's hard fought 42-35 home loss to Kent, Akron has quietly inked a 2-1 SU and ATS tally in its last three games and head coach Joe Moorhead will make sure his troops finish. There are a few reliable angles that support this investment. When holding a team won/loss percentage less than .500, the Zips sport a respectable 26-16-1 ATS mark provided their opponent carries a team won/loss percentage less than .333. In this setting arriving off a straight up loss, UA improves to a rewarding 22-11-1 ATS. Also, since 1998, MAC road teams that hold a team won/loss percentage less than .500 own a lucrative 38-18-1 ATS record provided they check in off two or more home games and are now facing a conference opponent that slips in without steam off a SU and ATS loss. If our "play on" side is tackling a foe that is not off a blowout loss of 35 points or more, this angle tightens up to a powerful 34-10-1 ATS. That bodes well for the Zips.
Dating back to the start of the 2016 regular season, BGSU has been one of the MAC's worst inking a rough 39-75 SU and 41-62-2 ATS record. In this setting lined up against a foe that arrives off the comforts of a home game, the Falcons fall to a woeful 11-37 SU and 15-32-1 ATS including a hideous 3-14 SU and 2-14-1 ATS provided their opponent scoots in without confidence off a straight up loss. Also, as home chalk storming the field without momentum off a straight up loss, Bowling Green holds a poor 4-15-1 ATS tally including a shocking 0-8-1 ATS if its opponent slips in off the comforts of a home game.
Locked into a triple revenge mode, the Zips will lean on their opportunistic defense (18 turnovers in 11 games) to help them pull off this minor upset. Take Akron. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
