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Trends and Angles, Week 1

   by Al McMordie - 09/02/2005

Here are some trends for the upcoming College Football weekend, as well as a System in NFL action for Friday night.

SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Play on any Preseason road team off back to back home wins, if they scored 30 or more in their last game, and won by double-digits. Record (1983-2005): 11-1 ATS

This week's play: Denver + over Arizona

College Trends:

Wisc/BGSU: Wisconsin is 15-1 SU vs. Mid-American Conference foes since 1980

Northwestern/Ohio: The Big 10 is 29-18 ATS as home faves of -14 to -40 points vs. the MAC

Virginia/WMU: Western Michigan is 0-6 ATS on grass and UVa is 18-7 ATS at home under Coach Groh

Iowa/Ball St: Iowa is 20-5 ATS as home faves under Coach Ferentz

MichSt/Kent: The Spartans are 1-10 ATS vs. non-conference foes

OhioSt/Miami: Miami is 14-5 ATS on grass

Michigan/N. Illinois: The Wolves are 14-5 ATS as home faves of more than 14 pts, including 8-2 vs. non-conf foes

PennSt/South Fla: PSU is 0-6 ATS as home faves of more than 17 points in Game 1

ECU/Duke: The ACC is 6-12 ATS vs. Conf USA since Nov. 1999

Tenn/UAB: The Vols are 0-4 vs. Conf USA since 1999

Illinois/Rutgers: The Scarlet Knights are 5-1 on the road vs. the Big 10

Colo/CSU: The Rams are 10-1-1 ATS as dogs with revenge since Nov. 1993

Pitt/ND: The Panthers are 3-10 ATS vs. Notre Dame including 0-6 when Pitt is not off a SU/ATS loss

Georgia/Boise: The Broncos are 16-4 ATS vs. non-conf foes since Sept 25, 1999, if not favored by more than 20

Maryland/Navy: The Midshipmen are 58-26 ATS away from home since 1991 including 32-13 as double digit dogs

Fla/Wyo: The Cowboys are 3-9 ATS on the road vs. non-conf foes since 1999

AF/Washington: Air Force is 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS in road openers since 1980

Okla/TCU: TCU is 4-1 ATS on the road vs. Big 12 foes since 1980

Aub/GT: Auburn is 0-5 ATS since 1988 vs. the ACC

BYU/BC: Byu is 4-0 ATS vs. the ACC since 2000

Clem/A&M: Clemson is 10-4 ATS with revenge vs. non-conf foes if spread is 10 or less

SMU/Baylor: SMU is 0-8 ATS vs. Baylor since 1988

SDSU/UCLA: The Bruins are 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS vs. SDSU since 1980

Hawaii/USC: The Trojans are 18-5 ATS as faves of more than 22 points, including 6-0 on road

Syr/WVU: The Orangemen are 24-8 ATS as a PK or favorite with revenge including 7-0 last 7

Ky/Louisville: Kentucky is 1-5 SU and ATS vs. Louisville

NCSt/VT: The Wolfpack is 15-5 ATS as dogs of 14 or less since 1999

NM/UNLV: The Lobos are 5-1 ATS vs. the Rebels

Memphis/Ole Miss: Mississippi is 17-7 ATS as dogs with revenge including 5-0 since Nov. 2002

FSU/Miami: Miami is 1-9 ATS as road fave of less than 7 points but 6-0 SU last 6 vs. FSU and 6-1 ATS last 7 vs FSU

Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

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