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Canadian Open Preview
by Matt Fargo - 07/22/2009
Following the extremely suspenseful Open Championship at Turnberry, the PGA Tour crosses another border this week at is heads to Glen Abbey Golf Club in Oakville, Ontario for the RBC Canadian Open. This will be the 25th time this track has hosted this event but just the 3rd time since the redesign took place in 2001.
The field is relatively weak as we are coming off a Major Tournament but there are some big names teeing it up this week. Six players ranked in the top 30 in the Official World Golf Rankings are playing led by Camilo Villegas who is currently holding down the 13th spot. Also in the mix is Sean Oâ€™Hair (15th), Anthony Kim (17th), Retief Goosen (21st), Luke Donald (25th) and Mike Weir (27th).
Weir and Goosen are the favorites, both listed at +1500, but we will be staying away from both as there is really no value for either player. Both have won in Canada before but this tournament qualifies as a real sleeper tournament ands that is proven by last yearâ€™s winner Chez Reavie, who is +10,000 this week. We will be digging deep for some sizable underdogs that are playing in top form right now.
Mark Calcavecchia (+10,000) has won here before and he has been in the running on several other occasions as he has had two runner up finishes as well as two other top tens. He finished in a tie for 14th last year and he is definitely playing well following his stellar performance at the Open Championship last weekend.
John Mallinger (+4000) was oh-so-close last week as he lost in a playoff to Bo Van Pelt in the U.S. Bank Championship in Milwaukee. That would have been his first PGA Tour win and while disappointing, he can feed off that. He has four top tens over his last 10 events and that includes a T3 at the Players. He can break through in this field.
Bryce Molder (+5000) is certainly no household name but he has been playing exceptional well. He was in the thick of the Open Championship last week before shooting 77 on Sunday and has two top five finishes over his last five events including a runner-up finish at the St. Jude last month. He is not lacking confidence right now.
Recommended plays for the RBC Canadian open
Last week, Tiger Woods was a big disappointment as was Ian Poulter, both of which failed to make the cut at the Open Championship. Sergio Garcia gave us some hope heading into the weekend before he put up a miserable 76 on moving day.
Mark Calcavecchia (+10000) 1.5 Units
John Mallinger (+4000) 1.5 Units
Bryce Molder (+5000) 1.5 Units
Hunter Mahan (+1500) 2 Units L
Tiger Woods (+175) 2 Units W
K.J. Choi (+5000) Â½ Unit L
John Deere Classic
Steve Stricker (+1000) 2 Units W
Zach Johnson (+1500) 2 Units L
Kevin Sutherland (+4000) 1 Unit L
Sergio Garcia (+2000) 2 UnitsL
Ian Poulter (+2500) 2 UnitsL
Tiger Woods (+165) 2 UnitsL
YTD +2 Units