The start of the Brasileirão 2024 season is right around the corner with the first match kicking off on Saturday, April 13. Palmeiras is the defending champion from last season as they beat out the 2nd place Gremio by 2 points, and Palmeiras has also won the last 2 straight league titles as well. The last team other than Palmeiras to win the league title was Atletico Mineiro back in 2021. Any team can go on a run in the league but it takes a team with a lot of talent and depth to stay consistent throughout an entire season in this league, as is evident by the fact that the same 3 clubs have won the league title over the last 6 seasons. Any of the 20 teams can win this title but realistically, there are only 4 teams this year that have a real chance at winning, and even then, this league has really been a 2 horse race over the last few years. Now it is time to see who really has the best chance at winning this league and taking home the Brasileirão Série A Title for the 2024 season.
To Win Outright
Flamengo +250: Flamengo is coming into this season as the team with the best chance at winning the league title this year according to the oddsmakers. Flamengo is also the favorite to win the Copa Libertadores this season and from a talent standpoint, they have the best team in all of South America this year by far. They have dominated the Carioca over the last few months as they were 8-3-0, the only team to not lose a match during the campaign. They have also had a very good attack that has been averaging over 2 goals scored per match, and they have the best defense in the country right now as they allowed just 1 goal in their 11 matches. Flamengo has been a dominant team in the country for years but they have not won many trophies recently and that is going to light a fire in them this season as they try to take back the league. They have come close a few times, but they have not won this competition since the 2020 season and they are going to have the drive to do it this year. They have always had the talent to be a threat, but now they have the depth to stay consistent all season while also making a deep run in Copa Libertadores. They picked up some solid defenders in Leo Ortiz and Matias Vina while also adding some great talent in the midfield with Allan and Nicolas de la Cruz. Flamengo is going to be a threat in all competitions this year and they really do have the best team in Brasil. Flamengo has the best chance at winning the league title this season.
Palmeiras +300: Palmeiras is coming into this season as the team with the next best chance at winning the league title this year according to the oddsmakers. Palmeiras has been a dominant club in South America over the last few years as they have won multiple Copa Libertadores Titles as well as being the defending champions of this league for the last 2 straight seasons. They have had great success in this league and they were also very good in the Paulista Serie A1 this year as they finished 8-4-0 and were the only team in that league to have no losses, but this is still going to be a very different season for them. They are also a club that is going to be focused on making a deep run in Copa Libertadores but they simply do not have the talent this year to handle both competitions. They have brought in some depth but they have not really made any big splashes in talent, and the big story for them this season is that they are going to lose their star wonder kid Endrick in July as he makes the transfer to Real Madrid. Endrick is going to be a huge loss for them in the summer and there is no guarantee they will be able to bring in a player to replace that kind of talent. Also, if it comes down to it, Palmeiras will be more focused on going deep into Copa Libertadores since they have not won that competition in a few years and considering how they are the B2B defending champions of this league, they will actually prioritize the Copa Libertadores over this league if needed. Regardless, they may have a strong start to the season but at some point in the season, the loss of talent along with the toll of the extra midweek matches will be too much for them to handle and they will drop out of the race to win this title, leaving it to a stronger and more consistent team. Palmeiras may be the B2B defending champions but they have no real value at this price to win the league title this season.
Atlético Mineiro +550: Atlético Mineiro is coming into this season as the team with the next best chance at winning the league title this year according to the oddsmakers. Atletico Mineiro was the last team to win the league title other than Palmeiras back in 2021. They have not done much in the league over the last few years since then, but they are certainly starting to turn the corner again. They already have a solid core group of talent to lean on, but now they have boosted their squad by bringing in a number of different players at many different positions to provide some much needed depth for these starters. So far, it has paid off for them as they were very good in the Mineiro Modulo I, finishing at the top of their group at 4-2-2, but their form could have been much better considering how they were playing against much weaker competition than some of the other leagues. A lot of the talent they brought in has also been very attack heavy which is great since they have struggled to score goals over the last 2 seasons and that is no longer an issue, but their defense has not been nearly as good as it used to be either. One reason for that is that they also brought in a lot of younger talent and that young talent is going to make mistakes. Atletico Mineiro is also a club that has the talent to go deep into Copa Libertadores and that could affect their form late in the season since Copa Libertadores is always a priority over the league. Atletico Mineiro is not in the position to take back the league title this season, but this is certainly a team that is on the rise and expect a top 4 finish from them at least as their younger talent will grow into their roles as the season goes on. It is just not their year to win the league title this season.
Internacional +1000: Internacional is coming into this season as the team with the next best chance at winning the league title this year according to the oddsmakers. Internacional has not been a dominant team in the league over the last few years, but they did have 1 season where they led for a while before finishing in 2nd place. They have been turning things around recently as they made a big splash to bring in Enner Valencia last season from Fenerbahce, and now they have made a lot of other moves to bring in talent and depth for this team to improve. The results have been evident as they were dominant in the Gaucho, finishing 9-1-1 as they were the only team in that league with just 1 loss. They were also averaging close to 2 goals scored per match with 21 goals in their 11 matches, and their defense was also great as they allowed 7 goals in their 11 matches. They are going to be a threat in this league this year as they also have a plethora of young talented players to complement their few experienced players who are north of 30 years old. Internacional also has a huge advantage down the stretch since they are only playing in Copa Sudamericana this season and will see much weaker clubs in that competition than they would in Copa Libertadores. They would love to win Copa Sudamericana this season, but Copa Sudamericana is no Copa Libertadores for these Brasilian squads and if put in the position to do so, Internacional will be more focused on winning the league title than the Copa Sudamericana. Internacional does not have the best chance at winning the league title this season, but they definitely have some value here as a dark horse.
RecommendationThere are many good teams in this league as Brasil has one of the if not the strongest league in all of South America with their talent, but in reality, there is only a few teams that have a real chance at winning this title. Of these teams, Flamengo at +250 has the most value since they do have the best team in Brasil by far and they are going to be motivated after seeing many trophies slip away from them the last few seasons. If there is going to be a team this year that comes out of the woodwork to make a strong impression on the league, then that team is going to be Internacional so there is some good value in Internacional at +1000 to win the league title as a dark horse.
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