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Bad Encore

   by Tom Stryker - 10/11/2007

If you're a true fan of college football, than you'll agree that there's nothing better than watching an underdog go into a hostile environment on the road and pull of an upset. The emotion, thrill, and excitement of that stunning victory can be a rush.

With the balance of power constantly changing on the gridiron, upsets are going to remain a huge part of the game - which is good for a couple of reasons. First, it makes college football worth watching. How much fun would it be if the favorite won all the time? None! Second, and most important, as a professional sports handicapper, you salivate when you see upsets happen because you know easy money is on the horizon. Please consider this powerful system:

Play AGAINST any college football home underdog or favorites of -3 or less provided they won their last game straight up as a road underdog of +6 or more.

27 Year Record – 162-118 ATS for 57.8 percent.

If you think about this general system for a second it makes perfect sense. After pulling off this shocking upset, a team returns home only to find itself an underdog or barely favored. What that tells you right there is you probably don't have the best 11 guys on the field! If you did have the better team, the linemaker would have installed them at a much higher price especially off that straight up underdog win!

Fortunately for us, three schools are locked into this "play against" situation on Saturday: Miami Ohio, Notre Dame and Stanford. The Red Hawks (+8) strolled into Kent country and stunned the Golden Flashes 20-13. Thanks to a bundle of turnovers, the Fighting Irish (+22) cruised past the Bruins 20-6 at the Rose Bowl. And, last but certainly not least, the Stanford Cardinal (+39) pulled off a monumental upset when they checked into the Coliseum and knocked off USC 24-23!

There are a couple of powerful tighteners that make this week's system even more profitable. Here's the best one. If our gracious host is matched up against an opponent that owns a won/loss percentage of .600 or less, the results of this technical situation crumble to a shocking 41-67 ATS. That's 62.0 percent winners! Miami Ohio and Stanford fit this special parameter perfectly.

With our 41-67 ATS in hand, there is one way to improve this awesome angle. At game seven of the season or later, this technical situation dips to an ugly 19-45-1 ATS! The only host locked into this set on Saturday is Miami Ohio!

Off last week's 55-24 whipping at Boston College, don’t be surprised when Bowling Green strolls into Miami and pulls off this minor upset. Good luck with the Falcons on Saturday, TS.

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