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Pre-Season Game 2 Gold
by Tom Stryker - 08/19/2007
Ok, so week one of the NFL Pre-Season is in the books and you took a little hit. That happens even to a professional like me. The excitement felt before the games were played last weekend has turned into that dreaded "get even" pressure. Don't panic. It's only week two of the exhibition season and there is still plenty of time to fatten up your bankroll before the real grind begins on September 1st.
Actually, week two of the NFL Pre-Season has been my most profitable. Teams grow up a lot between the first and second game and there are some great technical situations that apply. I think it's safe to say that the goal of every squad in August is to improve on a weekly basis. If you play bad, make adjustments and get better. If your defense gave up a ton of yards, tighten up the ship. If your offense failed to score, push the pedal to the medal and put some points on the board. Nothing frustrates an NFL head coach more than to see his troops take a step back instead of taking a step forward.
With my powerful NFL Pre-Season database revved up and ready to go, I decided to take a look at how well teams did in game two. There was plenty of stuff to chew on. For example, game two teams that got shutout in week one are a profitable 11-6 ATS in their next battle. Also, game two squads that posted 35 or more points last struggled a touch their next time out recording a 9-14 ATS mark. Those two little tidbits were nice but the next one really took the cake.
Since 1985, game two road teams are a respectable 41-27 ATS for 60.2 percent provided they lost straight up at home in their exhibition opener. Wait, this gets better. If our guest is priced as an underdog or pick, this situation zips to a sweet 41-21 ATS for 66.1 percent. (Amazingly, road favorites in that role are 0-6 ATS!) This is a classic "bounce-back" angle. After a disappointing home opener, it would make perfect sense for a team to respond by going out on the road and playing much better the next time out.
Once I had my profitable 66.1 percent system, I decided to dig a little further to see if there was anything else I could find. It always pays to go the extra mile. Take a look at what I discovered.
If we take our game two road underdog (or pick) off a straight up home loss in game one and bring them in off an embarrassing defeat of eight points or more, this NFL Pre-Season system explodes to an blistering 24-7 ATS for 77.4 percent! Common sense would agree that any team off an embarrassing home loss in its opener would want to save face and bounce back its next time out. This NFL system proves that point.
There is one final parameter to this amazing technical situation that I'll share with you. With our 24-7 ATS system in hand, this Pre-Season system improves to 15-1-2 ATS provided our guest was priced as a favorite of -3 or more last! What I love about this system is that itâ€™s not "fine tuned" with parameters that are unrealistic. All we have here is a game two road team entering off an embarrassing home loss in which they were favored to win. That's simplicity at its best and it works for me!
At press time, there is only one team that fits this powerful technical system and all of its tighteners - TENNESSEE. Best of luck with the Titans and be sure to hang on to this amazing system for additional plays in the future! I'll be back next week with another NFLX power system. Good luck, TS.