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Last Road Game Money-Maker
by Tom Stryker - 11/16/2006
At this time of the year, you hear a lot about â€œlast home gameâ€쳌 systems. And you should. These time-tested and proven methods of handicapping have been extremely profitable.
Since there are so many powerful â€œLHGâ€쳌 sets, I wondered if there was any money to be found regarding teams playing in their last road game of the year. Honestly, I didnâ€™t find a whole lot. The strength of college football teams running on Senior Day is a bit too much. Luckily, after some intense research, I did uncover one situation that made a good chunk of change. Hereâ€™s what you want to do:
Play ON any college football road team playing in its regular season finale provided they enter off a straight up home loss of 10 points or more and are matched up against an opponent that enters off a straight up victory of 10 points or more.
27 Year Record = 37-22 ATS for 62.7 percent!
If you just read that system and didnâ€™t know the results, your knee-jerk reaction would be to go against those road teams. Letâ€™s face it, after just getting dusted in their last home game, no one would want to hit the road for their season finale off an embarrassing loss. Emotionally, it would be safe to say that these guests might be spent. Thatâ€™s not the case at all. This Saturday, there are two schools locked into this play on system: Indiana and Michigan State.
There are a couple of ways to make this situation even better. First, if our guest owns a won/loss percentage less than .500, this system improves to a blistering 26-10 ATS for 72.2 percent. Off that crushing home loss, these losing road teams want to end the year on a high note and close with a victory. That does make sense. In this first tightener, the Hoosiers and Spartans apply.
With our 26-10 ATS in hand and our guest not off a straight up loss of 30 or more points two games back, this Last Road Game Money-Makes explodes to a sensational 23-5 ATS for 82.1 percent. Those road teams that lost by 30 or more points never recovered (3-5 ATS) and obviously just wanted the season to end. This week, there is only one team locked into this sweet tightener â€“ MICHIGAN STATE.
Good luck with the Spartans on Saturday.