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Lay the Lumber
by Tom Stryker - 10/20/2006
As we approach the end of the regular season in college football, itâ€™s important to note that there are an abundance of technical situations that flat out make money. Over the next few weeks, Iâ€™ll be sharing a couple of these beauties with you and we will turn a nice profit.
This College System of the Week entry is entitled, â€œLay the Lumberâ€쳌. Itâ€™s not very flashy. However, as you will quickly see, it is extremely profitable. Take a look.
Play ON any regular season game eight or later favorite of -21 or more provided theyâ€™re matched up against a foe that enters off a straight up loss as a favorite.
27 Year Record = 37-16-3 ATS for 69.8 percent.
If youâ€™re laying three touchdowns plus at this stage of the season, thereâ€™s a pretty good chance youâ€™ll be investing on one of college footballâ€™s finest. When I first researched this technical situation, I was expecting high-priced favorites to do poorly late in the year. I couldnâ€™t have been more wrong.
In this particular system, the chalk preys on a team coming off a straight up loss in which they were favored. At the end of the season, teams just donâ€™t bounce back like they do earlier in the year. After getting upset in their previous outing, this big dog comes in emotionally spent and loses its bite. On Saturday, there is one heavy favorite locked into this play on situation: California!
There are a couple of tighteners to this general system that really make it pop. First, with our 37-16-3 ATS in hand, our chalk investment improves to a sensational 28-6 ATS for 82.3 percent provided it enters with momentum off a straight up victory of 17 points or more. Second, if our high-priced favorite is not in a revenge mode, this system tightens up to a nearly perfect 28-4 ATS for 87.5 percent! The Golden Bears fit both tighteners!
Itâ€™s time to lay the lumber with the Golden Bears on Saturday! Good luck with the University of California! Be sure to check back next week for another late-season college system.