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Having basic betting principles down is a great way to ensure that you’re not simply throwing your money away. Beyond that, you’ll want to have some skills specifically tailored to the sport you’re betting. Let’s start by saying that betting on NBA basketball offers great profit potential to those who know how to navigate this unique betting landscape.
Learn This Strategy
If you cannot do the following, it’s fun to learn how and follow us for more information. One big key to staying profitable in NBA betting is to understand how the lines are made and what they mean. Staying sharp in this area will allow you to find spots where the lines are off and ready to be hammered, and also when to stay away, which is a big skill in keeping a good margin in NBA betting. The more you pay attention to the lines and put yourself in the shoes of the oddsmakers, you’ll immediately start to see those profits.
We're Professional NBA Handicappers
Our ultimate NBA betting strategy guide comes directly from experts who have put their money where their mouths are and have made their livelihood as advantage bettors for years. We’re happy to share our insights and expertise to give you helpful strategies to improve your NBA betting prospects. Whether you’re new to NBA betting or you’re a seasoned gambler looking for a way to sharpen your basketball betting acumen, we’re very confident that you’ll find our tips useful.
Our “Must Know” Guide
This is broken down into sections to help give you an easier read and help make things easy to find if you ever need to come back and get a refresher on a particular topic. Become a Shark; not a Fish to your bookie.
Player Injury and Rest Updates
There are plenty of factors that we take into account before continuing with or eliminating a potential game.
There is no worse feeling than playing a betting line you think is way off base, only to realize during the game or after your loss that the line was “juicy” because a star player on the team you bet was out for the contest with an injury or in this new age of betting was being rested. Not only do you feel like a square for losing but you feel regret because you know you could have made a better decision simply by checking out the injury updates. Don’t be lazy or assume everything is set the same for that evening’s game. When news breaks, it takes time for books to adjust the lines. The sharks take advantage of this. The fish miss out or get eaten alive because they didn’t know the facts. Don’t be a fish; BE A SHARK!
It’s so easy to fall in love with your best play of the day as an amateur after hearing others on Sports-Center recommended it or your mates you talk too also love it. It’s only human nature to want to double or triple your wager. WRONG! I don’t care how much you love a game, it still can lose.
No matter how basic your method may be, having a way to keep an eye on your bankroll will help keep you from going off the rails with huge bets that could cripple you if they miss. After a few “key can’t miss losses” blow up your bankroll, you’ll be more likely to avoid the temptation of showing a total disregard to strong money management principles. A good plan is the best way to stay in the pocket with your betting system and find out what works and what doesn’t over an extended period of time but begin by betting 90% of all bets for the same amount. As an example: if you average bet is $300, do not increase it or decrease it for two week periods. That way, if you win during week one and lose in week two, your money management kept you even. If you win two weeks in a row, increase your units of play and stick with them in weeks 3 and 4. Then continue….
The premise is simple; teams don’t perform as well when they’re fatigued as they do when they’re fresh. Much like the injury tracking mentioned above, it’s also good common sense to make sure your betting horse isn’t limping into the arena on tired legs. In the NBA, playing three games in four days or five games in seven days is not uncommon. But what was long held by sharps has now become a legit game changer in the age of data and analytics. We’re sure some big shot at the books played a role as well, but the bottom line is that schedule tracking is a big thing to watch out for now. And it’s so easy to do.
Get A Working Calendar
Schedule tracking is looking at a team’s schedule and looking for rough patches in the schedule that would lead the team to be tired or fatigued. Like those stretches mentioned above. The hope is that on these particular games, the betting line fails to reflect this crucial factoid and a team is overvalued, giving great value to a bet against that team. The oddsmakers, (who’s not your friend), loves to set traps to exploit the betting masses This is especially valuable for teams that the betting public likes no matter the case, as books have to keep the lines high to keep their action balanced.
Separator Skills A Must!
Are You Just Guessing?
This is a must to learn to become a successful bettor on your own. Many bettors can’t grasp this so smartly they rely on the seasoned NBA handicapping pro. Learning to think about the bookmaker’s intentions when putting out a line is definitely one of those “separator” skills – by that we mean that it’s one of those defining betting skills that separate the consistently profitable pros from the losing recreational bettors. REMINDER: Become a Shank; not a fish. And it takes your effort.
Ask Yourselves Why This Team
and At That Point Spread.
This is a “game behind the game” tip, but it’s extremely important in NBA betting (just as much as in NFL betting, in our opinion). The principle is to ask a very simple question: why did the book open the line at that number? Expert sharps consider it second nature to ask this question, but most amateurs never even think to.
Tip of the Week For Betting NBA
It was mentioned before that the oddsmakers are not your friend. I don’t care if you’ve known him for 10 years.
PS: I’ll bet he knows who you’re going to bet as soon as his phone rings. And in a nanosecond, he’s changed the number just on your bets in his favor. It’s called “line shading”. Bookmakers capitalize on these common perceptions by putting pick’em games out at Home Team (-1) or (-1.5) to make the public pay a premium on their habit. They’ll also put out Home Team (-1) opening lines even if the home team should open as a 1-point underdog. It’s another way to trap the public. If public perception is that the game is a flip, the bookmakers know they’re going to receive more bets on the home team. As discussed, “line shading” is a term referring to when a bookmaker anticipates heavy betting action on one side of a matchup and moves an opening betting line toward that side. Oddsmakers don’t miss a trick to keep the public confused.
Fade the Public
We’re sure you see this a lot; it’s part of almost any expert betting advice on any sport that’s out there. Well, it’s there for good reason! The books are there to make money, and they make money by forcing the public to pay a premium for their popular notions. Learn what is suggested. It’s not that hard. Or follow us and let us do your homework for you. More wisdom here,
Confucius Says: To guess is cheap, to guess wrong is very expensive.