Cleveland Indians vs Minnesota Twins Predictions, Preview and Odds 08/16/2021

by Big Al Staff

Cleveland Indians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Odds and Preview - 08/16/2021

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Monday, August 15, 2021

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Where to Watch:  BSGL, BSNO 

Season-to-Date Record:

As of August 15, 2021

Cleveland Indians 56-59 (3rd in AL Central)

Minnesota Twins 51-66 (4th in AL Central)

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks:

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  -140 Twins; +120 Indians
Over/Under: 9 runs (-120)

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  nul;
Over/Under nul runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  nul;
Over/Under nul runs


Key Injuries
:


Indians: Harold Ramirez was placed on IL August 11th with a right hamstring injury.


Twins: Micheal Pineda was placed on the IL August 14th with an oblique strain.


Recent Lineups
:


Indians:


1 | Myles Straw | CF
2 | Amed Rosario | SS
3 | Jose Ramirez | 3B
4 | Franmil Reyes | DH
5 | Bradley Zimmer | RF
6 | Oscar Mercado | LF
7 | Owen Miller | 1B
8 | Andres Gimenez | 2B
9 | Austin Hedges | C

Twins:

    1 | Max Kepler | RF
2 | Jorge Polanco | SS
3 | Josh Donaldson | DH
4 | Luis Arraez | 2B
5 | Mitch Garver | C
6 | Trevor Larnach | LF
7 | Miguel Sano | 1B
8 | Jake Cave | CF
9 | Willians Astudillo | 3B

Statistical Leaders
:


Indians:


Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (.275)


Hits:  Amed Rosario (111)


Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (25)


RBI: Jose Ramirez (69)


Stolen Bases: Jose Ramirez (14)


Wins:  Aaron Civale (10)


Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (16)


ERA:  Cal Quantrill (3.13)


Twins:


Batting Average:  Jorge Polanco (.268)


Hits:  Jorge Polanco (112)


Home Runs:  Jorge Polanco (21)


RBI: Jorge Polanco (62)


Stolen Bases:  Jorge Polanco (9)


Wins:  Jose Berrios (7)


Saves: Hansel Robles (10)


ERA:  Jose Berrios (3.48)


Managers
:


Indians:  Terry Francona (10th season)


Team2:  Rocco Baldelli (3rd season)


Recent Form
:


Both teams have not lived up to expectations set forth on Opening Day. The Tribe have been hit with the injury bug all season. Shane Bieber is expected to return early September, but the Indians sit 10 games back of the 2nd wild card spot. The Indians have lost 4 of the last 5. After a disappointing 3 game series vs the Detroit Tigers, the Indians head to Target Field to make up some ground in this wild card race. In prior years Cleveland has been known to make late pushes for the playoffs.


Minnesota looks like they’re picking up some steam, winning a four-game series in Houston and then beating the Chicago White Sox in a 3 game series. The Twins lost Friday but got a game back from the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday. Twins are having no problems offensively, scoring 33 runs in their last 4 games. With Nelson Cruz being traded away, one may think then offense would lose a step. They just keep rolling.


Series History
:


The Twins lead the season series 5-4. The last time these teams faced off at Target Field, the Twins took 2 out of 3 from the Indians.


Statistical Comparison
:


Minnesota is bottom 5 in pitching with a team ERA of 4.93. The Baltimore Orioles, Pittsburgh Pirates and Arizona Diamondbacks are the only teams behind them. The Twins have had a lot of problems giving up the homers, a league leading 174. When guys do get on base they are average with a 1.34 whip. Offensively Minnesota has done well this season. They’re top 10 in the league with OPS (7.46), 4th in home runs (168), and they’re a tough team to strike out (1005).


Cleveland relies on it’s pitching and defense. The Indians rank in the bottom 4 of team batting average (.232), only behind Chicago Cubs, Seattle Mariners, and the Texas Rangers. Their pitching numbers are not the best but once the start getting guys healthy, Zach Plesac won’t have to be the guy to carry the load in the rotation.


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Cleveland Indians vs Minnesota Twins



Game Preview
:


Both teams are coming off of series wins. Cleveland took 2 of 3 from Detroit, with a dominant pitching performance Sunday by McKenzie. McKenzie pitched 8 perfect frames until Castro lined a single to right with 2 outs. Cleveland exploded for 11 runs in that game and hope to carry that offensive momentum into Target Field. The Twins took 2 of 3 at home to the Rays. They were powered by a Jorge Polanco walk off sacrifice fly Sunday. 


The slated starters for this matchup are Cal Quantrill for Cleveland. Quantrill has been consistent as a starter, posting a 3.13 ERA to go with a 1.76 whip and 75 strikeouts. His last outing, Quantrill pitched 6 innings while giving up 2 ERs. This will be the 4th of consecutive road games for Cleveland. They’re going to need to have another dominant pitching performance, and hope that their offensive momentum keeps going in the right direction.


Minnesota sends Griffin Jax to the mound. He owns a 5.45 ERA, but his last 2 starts have been wins. Jax does give up the long ball, but held down two of the best offenses in MLB his last 2 outings (HOU, CWS). 


Both offenses have been on a tear as of late, but all the travel for Cleveland has me thinking they will come back to earth in this series.



Trends
:


Over is 8-1-2 in last 11


Indians are 1-8 in their last 9 in Minnesota

Cleveland Indians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Minnesota has looked good during their recent homestand. They’re playing the best baseball of the season. I don’t see Cleveland coming in and outslugging this Twins team. I expect Jax to pitch a quality start and get his 3rd W in a row. Take the Twins at home -140.

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