Matt Fargo - Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Fargo's MLB Divisional Game of the Month

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
MLB
Competition
Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
Time
04/26/2024 07:10 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Washington Nationals +128 (BetOnline)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Divisional Game of the Month. Not much was expected of Washington this season and so far, that has been the case with the National sitting at 10-14 following a sweep at the hands of the Dodgers where the offense mustered only four runs in the three-game series. Miami does have the worse record but is arguably the better team yet no way it should be laying a price this big. The Marlins are 6-20 including a 2-11 record at home and they are hitting .216 which is tied for third worst in baseball while their 3.4 rpg are third worst overall. Pitching has not been great for Washington but Trevor Williams has been one of the bright spots as he has posted a 2.91 ERA and 0.97 WHIP through four starts and has not allowed more than three runs in any of those. Miami counters with Anthony Maldonado who will be recalled from Triple-A Jacksonville to serve as an opener and this is his Major League debut. Here, we play on National League teams averaging 3.5 or fewer rpg and with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.55 or worse on the season going up against teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.50 or higher. This situation is 65-36 (64.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (951) Washington Nationals

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