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This Week's Spot Bets (Feb 8 - Feb 14)
by Brandon Shively - 02/08/2016
Tuesday (2/09/2016)----Virginia Tech @ Virginia----This is not just your usual revenge game. This is an in-state rivalry and a series that Virginia has dominated in the past until last month when the Virginia Tech Hokies surprised Virginia beating them 70-68. Virginia had won the previous seven meetings prior to that game. Buzz WIlliams has done a great job with his Hokie team this season and Virginia is not as good as the preseason hype, but I think this spot fits them good tonight and they are starting to peak at just the right time. Virginia’s defense has been looking like the ‘defense of old’ lately as they haven’t allowed over 50 points in their last three games. The Cavaliers are only allowing 56 ppg at home this season while Virginia Tech is giving up 76 ppg on the road. I think this game comes down to defense and the Hokies have given up 77 or more points on the road in four of their last five conference games. While the Hokies are 8-2 ATS their last ten games, they are starting to be a bit ‘overvalued’ now in my opinion and with tournament time right around the corner, I am expecting the Virginia Cavaliers to pick up the intensity. Look for them to cover this double digit spread Tuesday night. *Virginia*
Wednesday (2/10/2016)----LSU @ South Carolina----South Carolina is coming off a huge win for the program as the knocked off Texas A&M over the weekend as that was a resume building victory that will look good on their record for the tournament committee. They now find themselves stuck in a ‘sandwich’ as they have a BIG home game vs. Kentucky on Saturday. Tonight, they will be laying points to a LSU team that has beaten them the last three meetings overall and the last three times on South Carolina’s home court. LSU has now covered in three consecutive games shooting over 50% from the floor. Ben Simmons is starting to be more assertive in the lineup and is arguably the best player in College Basketball along with Oklahoma’s Buddy Hield. When getting Simmons and the Tigers as an underdog against a team like South Carolina that they have beaten in the past, we are automatically on the right side. Factor that in with the fact that this is a trap game for South Carolina, and I will be looking to get all the points I can get in this one. *LSU*
Thursday (2/11/2016)----Illinois State @ Evansville----Illinois State is coming off a win, but it wasn’t just a walk-in-the-park win. The Redbirds beat Wichita State who had been running the Missouri Valley Conference and were winners of twelve straight games. Illinois State was down by 16 points in the first half against Wichita State and had to use a lot of energy to battle back to get the win. It needs to be noted that the Redbirds still only shot 27.3% from the floor in the game. They will face an Evansville team on Thursday night that is shooting 51.4% at home this season. Illinois State only shoots 40.7% on the road which includes only 29.4% from the three point line. After losing three times to Illinois State last season, Evansville got their revenge this year with a 66-55 win last month. I look for them to go ahead and complete the season sweep here tonight and roll by double digits. Mockevicious had 20 rebounds in the first matchup against Illinois State as the Redbirds don’t have any legit size down low. I expect the tandem on Balentine and Mockevicious to be too much for Illinois State who is a terrible spot coming off their biggest win of the season.
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