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WGC Bridgestone Golf Preview and Picks
by Matt Fargo - 07/30/2014
The PGA Tour is doing double duty this week, the second time this season that a regular tour event and a WGC event are taking place the same week. This week, the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational takes center stage with every player ranked in the top 50 in the OWGR competing from the Firestone Country Club South Course in Akron, Ohio. The Barracuda Championship has to deal with that along with preceding the PGA Championship.
We will keep our focus on the Bridgestone for betting purposes as we have a field that has not been seen on many occasions this season because of its strength. In total, 76 players are in the limited field and as is the normal case in these invitational tournaments, there is no cut and the winner’s purse is $1.5 million while the minimum payout is $41,250 so there is a lot on the line.
The South Course at Firestone seems almost unfair to amateurs as it is a par 70 but measures 7,400 yards making it the longest par 70 course of all non-majors. Surprisingly, the bombers off the tee do not have a huge edge as the real way to score is hitting greens in regulation as the greens can be very receptive and can lead to good birdie chances. Firestone South ranked second highest of all par 70's out of the non-Majors a year ago.
Defending his championship is Tiger Woods (+1,200) who has now won here eight times. He tied the course record with a Friday 61 en route to a seven-shot lead that he never relinquished. This is his third event since coming back from back surgery and while he has shown some strong positives, he is still showing a lot of rust. Even with that though, he cannot be counted out here.
Keegan Bradley (+2,300) won here is 2012 which was his third win on tour and he has not won since. He has finished in the top 25 in 26 of his last 38 starts the last two seasons which includes 12 top tens and three runner ups. He has been hit or miss this year but owns two T4 finishes in his last five starts including one at the U.S. Open. Finished T2 here last year in his title defense.
We are getting exceptional value with Jason Dufner (+4,500). He is another player that has been all over the place this season but he certainly has the tools to win especially at this course. His best finish in a major this year is T51 and while he is defending the last one of the season next week, his history here shows that can wait. He finished seventh in 2012 and T4 last year.
Victor Dubuisson (+7,000) made a name for himself with a runner up finish at the Accenture Match Play Championships and he has been solid ever since. He is coming off a T9 at the Open Championship which wax his fourth worldwide top ten of the season. This is his first start at Firestone but it is the type of course that fits his game very well and he should be able to score well here.
Brendon Todd (+7,500) is a big time sleeper with big time game. Let's not forget that he already has a win this season at the HP Byron Nelson Championship. That was the start of a run of five top eights in six starts including four top fives. His last start resulted in a T39 at the Open Championship. He will cherish this week as he had to play in Reno the last two years this event was taking place.
Recommended Tournament Win Six Pack at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational (all for One Unit)
Tiger Woods (+1,200)
Keegan Bradley (+2,300)
Jason Dufner (+4,500)
Victor Dubuisson (+7,000)
Brendon Todd (+7,500)
2014 Record to date after 28 events: -83 Units
Sony Open in Hawaii -5 Units
Humana Challenge -5 Units
Farmers Insurance Open -5 Units
Waste Management Phoenix Open -5 Units
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am +22 Units
Northern Trust Open -5 Units
WGC - Accenture Match Play +23 Units
Honda Classic -5 Units
WGC-Cadillac Championship -5 Units
Valspar Championship -5 Units
Arnold Palmer Invitational -5 Units
Valero Texas Open -5 Units
Shell Houston Open -5 Units
The Masters -7 Units
Zurich Classic -5 Units
Wells Fargo Championship -5 Units
THE PLAYERS Championship -5 Units
HP Byron Nelson Championship -5 Units
Crowne Plaza Invitational -5 Units
Memorial Tournament -5 Units
FedEx St. Jude Classic -5 Units
U.S. Open -6 Units
Travelers Championship -5 Units
Quicken Loans National -5 Units
Greenbrier Classic -5 Units
John Deere Classic -5 Units
The Open Championship -5 Units
RBC Canadian Open -5 Units