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RBC Canadian Open Preview and Picks
by Matt Fargo - 07/23/2014
We follow up an exciting Open Championship, with Rory McIlroy winning wire-to-wire for his third leg of golf's Grand Slam, with the RBC Canadian Open this week from Montreal, Quebec. This is always one of the more difficult tournaments on tour to breakdown because of the constant venue changes. The Canadian Open has been around for over a century and in that span, 37 different courses have played host. This year it returns to Royal Montreal Golf Club for the 10th time.
Royal Montreal Golf Club is a par 70 that reaches 7,153 yards which is actually 18 yards shorter than the last time it hosted a professional event, the 2007 President's Cup. The Canadian Open was last played here in 2001 where Scott Verplank posted a -14 and while the length has gone up close to 300 yards since then, it should still be benign and low scores will be present. It is a ball strikers course with cut down rough so we should see plenty of birdies over the course of the week.
With the Open Championship being played last week, the field becomes watered down this week. There are 24 players entered that played Hoylake last week so there could be some fatigue for those. Only five of the top 20 players in the OWGR are teeing it up this week with only one of those residing in the top five, Matt Kuchar. He is one of the favorites this week, along with Dustin Johnson and Jim Furyk both of which were in the mix at the Open Championship last week.
Graham DeLaet (+2,000) is the favorite Canadian this week and while he has not been at the top of his game of late, he is still a threat. While no Canadian has won his national open since Pat Fletcher in 1954, DeLaet has the tools to break that streak, namely the fact that he leads the PGA Tour in ball striking makes him a horse for the course.
Charley Hoffman (+3,000) has made 12 straight cuts which is tied for the 6th longest streak on tour so we will see him around and he has the game to compete on this course. Included in that cuts streak are a pair of top fives highlighted by a T3 at the Quicken Loans National just two starts back. He is fourth on tour in birdies.
One player that has fallen off the radar is Carl Pettersson (+6,000) but in a light field, he is the type of player that could surprise. He has made five straight cuts after missing the cut in nine of his first 18 events and included in this stretch are two of his three top tens, a T3 at the FedEx St. Jude Classic and a T7 at the Travelers.
Robert Garrigus (+6,500) has been all over the place this year but he tends to bounce back well. He missed the cut at the John Deere Classic in his last start which followed up a T11 at the Quicken Loans National, his fourth top 12 of the season. He had a wrist injury a month ago but two weeks off will benefit him here.
Chad Campbell (+9,500) is our big longshot pick. He has not won since 2007 but he is actually playing well this year despite not many great finishes. He leads the tour in greens hit and he is ninth in ball striking so this is no doubt his type of track. Two of his three best finishes have been in two of his last three starts including a T7 at the Travelers.
Recommended Tournament Win Five Pack at The RBC Canadian Open (all for One Unit)
Graham DeLaet (+2,000)
Charley Hoffman (+3,000)
Carl Pettersson (+6,000)
Chad Campbell (+9,500)
Robert Garrigus (+6,500)
2014 Record to date after 27 events: -78 Units
Sony Open in Hawaii -5 Units
Humana Challenge -5 Units
Farmers Insurance Open -5 Units
Waste Management Phoenix Open -5 Units
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am +22 Units
Northern Trust Open -5 Units
WGC - Accenture Match Play +23 Units
Honda Classic -5 Units
WGC-Cadillac Championship -5 Units
Valspar Championship -5 Units
Arnold Palmer Invitational -5 Units
Valero Texas Open -5 Units
Shell Houston Open -5 Units
The Masters -7 Units
Zurich Classic -5 Units
Wells Fargo Championship -5 Units
THE PLAYERS Championship -5 Units
HP Byron Nelson Championship -5 Units
Crowne Plaza Invitational -5 Units
Memorial Tournament -5 Units
FedEx St. Jude Classic -5 Units
U.S. Open -6 Units
Travelers Championship -5 Units
Quicken Loans National -5 Units
Greenbrier Classic -5 Units
John Deere Classic -5 Units
The Open Championship -5 Units