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Playoff Journal - May 13

   by Larry Ness - 05/13/2013

NBA Playoff Journal (Monday, May 13)

Home teams opened the second round 4-6 SU and just 2-8 ATS through Friday’s games but home teams regrouped with two SU and ATS wins on Saturday plus added a third consecutive SU and ATS win on Sunday, when the Warriors made a late 4th quarter comeback vs the Spurs and then won 97-87 (and covered) in OT. Heading into Monday’s two games, home teams are 7-6 SU and 5-8 ATS in the second round. In the playoffs to-date, home teams stand at 36-22 SU (.621) but just 27-31 ATS (46.6% or minus-7.1 net games). Despite going into OT, Sunday’s game stayed comfortably under the total, making it five overs, seven unders and a push in the second round and 26 overs, 30 unders and two pushes the 2013 postseason. Those following the Zig Zag theory are an impressive 7-2 in the second round but just 23-23 overall, or minus-2.3 net games.

Curry’s ankle issues made him a game-time decision on Sunday but this budding star responded with 22 points, six rebounds and four assists (7-of 15 from the floor, including 5-of-10 on three pointers). However, itw was Golden St “big men” Barnes and Bogut who may have been the real stars of Game 4, along with Jarrett Jack off the bench. The Warriors looked ‘dead’ with just over 4 1/2 minutes left and down, 80-72. However, Golden St outscored San Antonio 12-4 to end regulation at 84-all, then scored the first NINE points in the OT.

Jack scored 12 of his 24 points in the 4th quarter and OT, while Barnes had a career-gh 26 points plus 10 rebounds. The rookie averaged 9.2-4.1 during the regular season but with the injury to Lee, has averaged 15.9-6.6 this postseason. Bogut was also HUGE, with 18 rebounds. Duncan had 19 & 15 for San Antonio but shot just 7-of-22, while Parker, bothered by a sore left calf, made just 6-of-17 shots (17 points). Ginobili added 21 points (the most in postseason game TY) but the Spurs shot only 35.5% as a team (7-of-27 on threes), after converting on 50.6 percent in Game 3’s 102-92 win. This series sure looks like a seven-gamer!

TNT takes over the cameras on Monday, as both Miami and Memphis look to take 3-1 leads in their respective series. The Heat are at Chicago at 7:00 ET and the Bulls are most likely to be again without Deng and Hinrich, plus head coach Tom Thibodeau's wallet is a little ‘lighter’ after the league hit him with a $35,000 fine on Sunday. “Thibbs” has his Bulls playing like thugs (only way for Chicago to stay within shouting distance) but then HE cries ‘foul?’ Pretty funny stuff. The Heat are favored by 7 1/2 points and the total is 186.

OKC at Memphis follows (about 9:30 ET) and the Thunder are almost in a “must win” situation. However, can they change anything? Gasol and Randolph (combined 35.0 PPG & 17.3 RPG in this series), have dominated counterparts Ibaka and Perkins (12.3-12.0). Durant can’t “do it alone” and after scoring 25 points in this series’ Game 1 win, Martin is 8-of-28 (29.6%) from the floor, with a a total of 19 points. Memphis enters this game having won 18 of its last 19 home games and owns a current eight-game ATS winning streak this postseason. Memphis is favored by 4 1/2 points and the total is 184 1/2.

Good luck...Larry

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