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Las Vegas Hilton "Games of the Year"
by Bryan Leonard - 07/16/2012
Headed down to the former Hilton Superbook yesterday afternoon as word spread that they would be releasing their College Football Games of the Year. Got down there around 1PM in order to beat the crowd and found a seat next to Joe Fortenbaugh of the National Football Post. The LVH put out the sheets a bit early so I was able to go over the games with the numbers I had already made for every game this season. What was amazing to me was the lack of interest from the Las Vegas betting public. I was there for roughly two hours and saw just a handful of the other professionals I'm usually fighting with to grab the best number. I don't know if the limits were too low ($1000) or they had tremendous respect for the linesmaker. In any case there were no lines and I didn't need to fight off the masses in order to get my plays in. While I saw a few of the sports betting media there who I respect, the bettors were nowhere to be found. In fact, a colleague of mine walked in about 30 minutes after I left and was told only five games actually moved from the openers.
I'm well aware that people don't want to tie up their bankrolls early in the season but I would much rather take a chance at matching wits with one or two bookmakers as opposed to hundred of thousands of bettors on game day. I guarantee your win percentage from these early lines will far exceed your day of the game bets, if only you do the work ahead of time. Anyway, I was able to find four plays off the LVH card. There were many more playable games but I had already grabbed a part of those from my 21 pieces played earlier at The Golden Nugget.
Here is what I found yesterday:
9/22/2012 Michigan +4 1/2 at Notre Dame
11/9/2012 Connecticut +4 hosting Pittsburgh
11/17/2012 Stanford +14 1/2 at Oregon
12/1/2012 Oklahoma State -6 at Baylor