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Overrated and Underrated MLB Teams

   by Bryan Leonard - 06/29/2012


We used a combination of our True Runs Formula and Expected Wins in order to come up with the most overrated teams in baseball. As a whole betting against these teams going forward should provide a positive return, especially going against the top tier. Ranked from most overrated to neutral with the adjusted win percentage.

Cleveland .68

Cincinnati .475

Pittsburgh .46

NY Yankees .41

Baltimore .38

Milwaukee .355

NY Mets .315

Washington .315

Miami .265

Houston .20

Tampa Bay .155

Minnesota .11

Colorado .03

San Diego .02

San Francisco .015

LA Dodgers .005

We used a combination of our True Runs Formula and Expected Wins in order to come up with the most underrated teams in baseball. As a whole betting against these teams going forward should provide a positive return, especially going against the top tier. Ranked from most underrated to neutral with the adjusted win percentage.

Chi Cubs .745

St Louis .67

LA Angels .63

Philadelphia .53

Texas .46

Chi WS .39

Toronto .35

Boston .18

Detroit .17

Seattle .145

Arizona .105

Oakland .08

Atlanta .055

Kansas City .04

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