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NBA Playoff Journal - May 26

   by Larry Ness - 05/26/2012

Philadelphia has already eliminated the No. 1 seeded Bulls (4-2) and has now taken the Celtics to a Game 7 in this second round series. The Sixers already own SEVEN wins this postseason, which is tied for the second-most by a No. 8 seed (16-team playoff format began in 1983-84).

Boston clearly owns the experience in this kind of setting, while Philadelphia is the younger and deeper team. The Sixers have not been to a Game 7 since 2001 (no current member of this team was around in 2001), while the Celtics are 3-2 in seventh games since this version of the “Big Three” was assembled in 2007.

Home teams are 86-22SU all-time in Game 7s (that’s 79.6%) and the Celtics are 5 1/2-point favorites (total is 170 1/2) in this contest, airing at 8:00 ET on ABC. Miami’s road win on Thursday drops home teams to 13-8 SU and 12-9 ATS (were 29-15 SU but just 23-20-1 ATS in the 1st round). Over bettors have done well in this second round (last night’s game finished almost 20 points higher than the closing total of 180 1/2) and it’s now 13 overs and eight unders this round, after 27 of 44 games went under in the first round.

"Zig Zaggers" had a good weekend (Fri-Sun) going 5-1 and but they are just 2-3 ATS this week (Mon-Thu). The second round has been good to those following the Zig Zag theory, as they are 11-6 ATS but after finishing the first round at 16-19-1, the current postseason record stands at 27-25-1 ATS, or minus-0.5 net games.

I'll be back at 10:00 ET Sunday morning witha recap of this Game 7 and a preview of the Western Conference between Oklahoma City and San Antonio.

Good luck....Larry

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