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College Top 25 Match-ups
by Matt Fargo - 01/28/2011
Georgetown Hoyas (20) at Villanova Wildcats (7) 12:00 PM ET
After three straight losses, Georgetown has won its last three games albeit against Big East teams not ranked. Still, it is a much needed roll for the Hoyas which come into this game with a 4-4 record in the conference. They have had Villanova’s number the last few years as they have won six of the last seven meetings while covering five of those games. Georgetown was on a 0-5 ATS run before covering the last three but things get tougher with five of the next six games against teams headed for the NCAA Tournament.
A letdown was expected and it certainly happened for Villanova which lost on Wednesday at Providence by 15 points. It was the third straight road game for the Wildcats and they were just coming off a big upset win at Syracuse on Saturday. This is the first of three in a row at home with Marquette and West Virginia to follow. Villanova is a perfect 11-0 at home this season with a 6-2-1 ATS mark in lined games. The Wildcats won the home meeting last season against the Hoyas, covering by a half-point.
Louisville Cardinals (19) at Connecticut Huskies (5) 12:00 PM ET
Louisville won its second Big East home game in the final seconds in 10 days as it defeated a depleted West Virginia team 55-54. That improved the Cardinals to 5-2 in the conference but of those seven games, only one has come against a ranked opponent. They are 3-4 against the number in conference games and the upcoming schedule will dictate if Louisville is for real or just a fraud. Four of the next five games are against ranked opponents with three of those coming on the road.
Connecticut continues to defy the odds. The Huskies are one of the youngest teams in the conference and they rely basically on one player but they continue to win. They have won six straight games, going 5-1 ATS, and their only two losses this season came on the road at Pittsburgh and Notre Dame. The freshman backcourt has been the key to success so far for Connecticut but that could be a detriment come tournament time. The Huskies are 11-0 at home but just 3-2 ATS as six home games have come against non-board teams.
Minnesota Golden Gophers (18) at Purdue Boilermakers (12) 1:00 PM ET
After starting 1-3 in the Big Ten Conference, Minnesota has won four straight games to move to a game out of second place in the standings. The last three have come against teams in or near the bottom of the conference but those are the games that need to be won if the Gophers are thinking of a top-tier finish. Four of their next six games are on the road with the two home games being against Ohio St. and Illinois so the next three weeks are about staying above water. Minnesota is 6-2 ATS on the road this season.
Purdue should be foaming at the mouth Saturday. The Boilermakers are coming off easily their worst loss of the season by 23 points at Ohio St. and this is an early revenge game for the Boilermakers which lost at Minnesota by three points 16 days ago. Five of the next six games come against ranked conference opponents so winning on their home floor is a must. Purdue is 11-0 at home this season, while covering six of the eight lined games including three of four in the Big Ten.
Missouri Tigers (13) at Texas Longhorns (8) 9:00 PM ET
Following a tough overtime loss at Texas A&M, Missouri has won its last two games heading into a big showdown in Austin. The Tigers are 3-2 in the Big XII but all three of those wins have come against teams with losing conference records so this game against Texas is even more important. This is just the fourth true road game of the season for Missouri where it is 1-2 including a 0-2 mark in the conference. The Tigers have played Texas only three times in three years but have won and covered all three meetings.
Texas does not seem to want to fold like it did at this point last season. Following a huge road win at Kansas, snapping the Jayhawks 69-game home winning streak, the Longhorns avoided a letdown by using a late first half run and eventually pulled away from Oklahoma St. for their fifth straight double-digit conference win. Two of Texas’ three losses came against Connecticut and Pittsburgh by a combined three points and on Saturday it brings in a spectacular 12-3 ATS record.