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Panthers/Cardinals and Aggies/Cougars Previews

   by ASA - 10/02/2009




Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Louisville Cardinals

Line Movements

Oddsmakers have Pitt as a 6.5 point road favorite with the total listed at 54.

Will the Real Pittsburgh Panthers please stand up?

Pittsburgh is coming off an embarrassing loss to North Carolina State, their first of the season. Pitt led 31-17 late in the 3rd quarter but couldn’t hold the lead and fell 38-31 to the Wolfpack.

NC State had absolutely no problem moving the ball against the Panthers ‘D’. Pitt was out-gained by 230 yards, had 16 less first downs, and had a 14 minute deficit in time of possession.

The Panthers are 3-1, but wins against FCS Youngstown State, Buffalo and Navy don’t really say too much about this team. Now they are coming off of a loss and playing as a favorite @Louisville – they are just 1-7 SU in the last 8 meetings vs. the Cards.

In Need of a Victory

Louisville is 1-2 this season. They defeated FCS Indiana State to kick-off the season and then had understandable back-to-back road losses to hated rival Kentucky, and then Utah.

There has been talk of Head Coach Steve Kragthorpe being on the “hot seat” and a victory to begin Big East play would greatly help his cause. To win, Kragthorpe will need better play out of his QB position than the Cards have been getting thus far.

Starter Justin Burke is completing just 51% of his passes with three touchdowns and four interceptions this season. Burke will likely have his best opportunity to put up big numbers against the Panthers; Pitt has allowed 281 passing YPG and 8 passing TD’s in their last three games.

Revenge

Last year Louisville turned the ball over 4 times and lost to the Panthers for the first time since 1990 - 41-7. They’ll be out for revenge as home dogs tonight against the 3-1 Pittsburgh Panthers.

Weather

There is a 90% chance of rain in Louisville for Friday, but the rain is expected to be over by game-time with temps in the mid 40’s.

Utah State Aggies vs. Brigham Young Cougars

Line Movements

BYU comes into the game as a heavy 24 point favorite with the total sitting at 65.

Shootout Potential

Both of these offenses are explosive and both have the potential to put up some huge numbers tonight.

After scoring just 14 points in a win against Oklahoma, BYU has averaged 41 points in their last three games. The Aggies of Utah State are averaging 489 YPG and 33 PPG.

BYU’s defense has been spotty, they allowed just 265 yards to the Sam Bradford-less Sooners but allowed 54 points and 512 yards in a loss to Florida State. Utah State is allowing 486 YPG and 36 points per game. In their first two road games of the season, the Aggies allowed 519 and 573 yards in losses to Utah and Texas A&M.

ATS Trends

Utah State has been a 20+ point underdog twice this season and came away with the ATS win both times. They were 20.5 point underdogs against both Utah and Texas A&M and lost by 18 and 8 points in those respective games.

BYU was an 18.5 point favorite against Tulane and an 18 point favorite against Colorado State. They got an easy 51 point victory against Tulane and squeaked away with the ATS win – 19 points – against Colorado State. They are, however, just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a 20+ point favorite.

History

BYU is 13-0 SU and 3-0 ATS at home all time vs. the Aggies. They were favorites of -19, -19.5, and -26 points in the three ATS victories. Last year BYU was a 29 point favorite @Utah State. They had a 34-0 lead in the 3rd quarter but allowed two late touchdowns and Utah St. got the cover.

Weather

Chance of rain and snow on Thursday in Provo, Utah; but clear weather is expected for Friday night with temps around 40 degrees.

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