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50 is the Magic Number!
by Tom Stryker - 10/10/2008
Over the years, Iâ€™ve come across a ton of scoring angles. Some are good, some arenâ€™t. The one Iâ€™m about to break down for you is one of my best.
Itâ€™s simplistic in approach. All I wanted to see was how well a reasonably priced home favorite did after a solid offensive performance on foreign soil. As you know, momentum is huge when it comes to handicapping college football and, off a great road performance in which the offense played extremely well, my thought was that these cheap home teams would be profitable. My assumption was correct. Take a look at this technical gem.
Since 1980, PLAY ON any college football home favorite priced at -27â€™ or less provided they scored 50 or more points on the road last.
28 Year ATS Record = 97-48 ATS for 62.5 percent
This Weekâ€™s Playâ€™s = MISSOURI and TEXAS TECH
As you can see, thereâ€™s not much to this system. But, it definitely packs plenty of reward. There are a couple of ways you can make this situation better. First, if our host is matched up against an opponent that checks in off a straight up loss, this system tightens up to a solid 39-20-1 ATS for 66.1 percent. Texas Tech is the only team that applies to this set.
Second, with our 39-20-1 ATS angle in play and our host facing a conference foe, we can remove a 5-6 ATS mark and improve this system to a sparkling 34-14-1 ATS for 70.8 percent. The Red Raiders apply to this special parameter as well.
Good luck with Texas Tech on Saturday and be sure to check back next week for another powerful handicapping article compliments of Tom Stryker.