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Tom's Technical Play
by Tom Stryker - 10/14/2008
Sometimes sports investors think too much. I canâ€™t tell you the number of times I didnâ€™t wager on a certain team because I â€œfeltâ€쳌 the situation wasnâ€™t right. Karma has a lot to do in the mindset of a gambler. Iâ€™m guilty. I admit it.
Thankfully, I have my college football database to keep things simple for me. Hey, why bother with technical reason? If the computer says a team is in a 65 percent or 85 percent winning situation who am I to disagree! This weekâ€™s College System of the Week is an excellent example of what I mean.
Youâ€™re on your way up to the window in Las Vegas with a winning ticket in hand. Your â€œplay onâ€쳌 team just crushed its opponent and already youâ€™re thinking in your head on why you shouldnâ€™t invest on this same team in its next game. Why? Does it state somewhere in the book â€œGambling for Dummiesâ€쳌 that a team coming off a blowout win canâ€™t repeat its most recent performance in its next game? At times, your â€œgambling mindâ€쳌 tries to out think every possible situation and scenario in pursuit of its next victory. When you feel yourself going into this zone, try and remember the KISS philosophy â€“ you know, Keep It Simple Stupid. Youâ€™ll see what I mean after you take a look at this incredible technical situation.
Since 1980, PLAY ON game two or later college football home dogs or home favorites of -26 or less provided they own a won/loss percentage of .500 or better, scored 55 points or more in its last game and enter off a victory of 21 points or more.
28 Year ATS Record = 188-103-7 ATS for 64.6 percent!
This Weekâ€™s Playâ€™s = LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE
Whatâ€™s so hard about that? All that amazing system has done is produce a 64.6 percent winning situation over 28 years!
There is one other area where this set improves dramatically. If our â€œplay onâ€쳌 host is running with serious momentum and off back-to-back SU and ATS wins, this powerful college system improves to a mind-boggling 53-20-1 ATS for 72.6 percent! This mark can be tightened up to a sensational 44-12-1 ATS for 78.5 percent provided the team we are playing against does NOT enter off a straight up loss of seven points or more! Louisiana Lafayette applies to both situations.
Good luck with the Raginâ€™ Cajuns on Saturday and be sure to check back next week for another college football technical gem. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.