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The 3rd Time Is A Charm

   by Tom Stryker - 09/20/2008

Let me set the stage for this week’s awesome college system.


Here it is game three of the regular season. The fast start you had hoped for didn’t happen. In your first two battles, you lost them both straight up and against the spread. Your fans hate you and the sports investors that backed you early are only looking to “play againstâ€쳌 you now since you drained them financially.


Slow starts can happen in any sport. But, that doesn’t mean you should give up on a team especially this early in the season. Teams that have a 0-2 SU record at game three obviously have their backs to the wall. They need a solid performance to get them back on the winning track. With that thinking in mind, I discovered the following money-making situation:


Since 1980, PLAY ON any game three road team provided they started the regular season with a 0-2 SU and ATS record.


28 Year ATS Record = 53-35 ATS for 60.2 percent.


This Week’s Plays = RUTGERS


After starting with a pair of SU and ATS losses, college football road teams are able to regroup and refocus especially when they’re forced to go into a hostile environment. With regards to this week’s “play onâ€쳌 side, the Scarlet Knights were just embarrassed by Fresno State and North Carolina on their home turf and they’ll look to take their frustrations out on Navy.


There are a couple of tighteners that we can add to this system that really make it pop. First, if our guest is matched up against an opponent that checks in off a straight up loss, this situation explodes to a sizzling 31-14-1 ATS for 68.8 percent! Momentum is a huge tool when it comes to handicapping college football and we remove a 22-21 ATS record provided the team we are playing against is NOT off a straight up victory.


Finally, with our 31-14-1 ATS system in hand, we can improve this situation to a jaw-dropping,23-4-1 ATS for 85.1 percent provided the team we are playing on was NOT priced as an underdog of +13 or more last. If a team is a big dog in college football there’s a pretty good chance that they’re just not very good. By dismissing those schools that were +13 or more last, we remove an 8-10 ATS record! Talk about profitable!


Navy may be a cash cow as a road underdog. However, when priced as a home pup, the Midshipmen have cashed only nine of their last 33 with two ties! The Scarlet Knights fit this awesome technical situation and they’re worth a look minus the points. Good luck with Rutgers!

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