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The 3rd Time Is A Charm
by Tom Stryker - 09/20/2008
Let me set the stage for this weekâ€™s awesome college system.
Here it is game three of the regular season. The fast start you had hoped for didnâ€™t happen. In your first two battles, you lost them both straight up and against the spread. Your fans hate you and the sports investors that backed you early are only looking to â€œplay againstâ€쳌 you now since you drained them financially.
Slow starts can happen in any sport. But, that doesnâ€™t mean you should give up on a team especially this early in the season. Teams that have a 0-2 SU record at game three obviously have their backs to the wall. They need a solid performance to get them back on the winning track. With that thinking in mind, I discovered the following money-making situation:
Since 1980, PLAY ON any game three road team provided they started the regular season with a 0-2 SU and ATS record.
28 Year ATS Record = 53-35 ATS for 60.2 percent.
This Weekâ€™s Plays = RUTGERS
After starting with a pair of SU and ATS losses, college football road teams are able to regroup and refocus especially when theyâ€™re forced to go into a hostile environment. With regards to this weekâ€™s â€œplay onâ€쳌 side, the Scarlet Knights were just embarrassed by Fresno State and North Carolina on their home turf and theyâ€™ll look to take their frustrations out on Navy.
There are a couple of tighteners that we can add to this system that really make it pop. First, if our guest is matched up against an opponent that checks in off a straight up loss, this situation explodes to a sizzling 31-14-1 ATS for 68.8 percent! Momentum is a huge tool when it comes to handicapping college football and we remove a 22-21 ATS record provided the team we are playing against is NOT off a straight up victory.
Finally, with our 31-14-1 ATS system in hand, we can improve this situation to a jaw-dropping,23-4-1 ATS for 85.1 percent provided the team we are playing on was NOT priced as an underdog of +13 or more last. If a team is a big dog in college football thereâ€™s a pretty good chance that theyâ€™re just not very good. By dismissing those schools that were +13 or more last, we remove an 8-10 ATS record! Talk about profitable!
Navy may be a cash cow as a road underdog. However, when priced as a home pup, the Midshipmen have cashed only nine of their last 33 with two ties! The Scarlet Knights fit this awesome technical situation and theyâ€™re worth a look minus the points. Good luck with Rutgers!