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The Golden Goose Egg
by Tom Stryker - 11/15/2007
Let's face it. Anytime a team can post a shutout in college football it's a noteworthy event.
Out of curiosity, I turned to my database to see how often a shutout occurred. Amazingly, since 1980, there have been 1,237 goose eggs posted! That's an average of just over 44 a season!
Of course, you know the technical lover in me had to dig a little deeper to see if posting a shutout led to profits anywhere else. Surprisingly, there wasn't much. Overall, teams coming off a shutout victory owned a reliable 73-42 ATS record provided they were matched up against an opponent that entered off a straight up loss as a favorite. You can store that one for later because no teams apply this weekend.
After a bundle of searches, I did find one shutout situation that worked like a charm. Take a look.
Since 1980, road teams coming off a shutout road victory are a sensational 53-20-2 ATS for 72.6 percent! The results of this system caught me by surprise. My knee-jerk reaction would have been to fade this team on foreign soil coming off such an emotional performance. That's exactly what you don't want to do! Fortunately for us, there is one team locked into this "play on" situation on Saturday: Penn State!
Good luck with the Nittany Lions this weekend and be sure to check back next week for another powerful last home game system!