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Our "Longshot" Pick to Win the Heisman Trophy

   by ASA - 06/25/2004

ANTHONY DAVIS (RB, WISCONSIN) 15/1

When picking our Heisman hopeful each year, we like to eliminate the top 4 or 5 and look for something that might get you a higher return on your money. Since it is a crapshoot due to injuries, team play and such, many times the “favoritesâ€쳌 going into the season simply don’t win. For example, last year’s winner, QB Jason White of Oklahoma, wasn’t even on the list to wager before the season started. That put him out of the top 25 front runners going into last season. Thus we usually like to look down the list a bit. This year our pick is Anthony Davis from Wisconsin at 15/1. If he stays healthy, which is obviously the key to this pick, he will put up HUGE numbers. The Badgers have their entire offensive line returning and an inexperienced, but talented, QB in John Stocco. Thus they will rely heavily, as usual, on Davis. The only potential problem would be his ankles. Davis sat out much of last year with ankle problems, however he is at 100% going into the 2004 season. In fact, before getting hurt in the third game of the season vs. UNLV, Davis already had 414 yards in just two games. Going into last year, Davis had 3,087 rushing yards in his first two years which put him as the top overall rusher in the NCAA over that two year span. Expect him to get off to a HUGE start this season. Head coach Barry Alvarez will make sure he gets the ball a lot and Wisconsin’s first five games are against poor rush defenses. Here are the Badgers first five opponents, their rushing defense rank from 2003 (out of 117 Division 1A teams) and average number of YPG each team gave up on the ground last season; Central Florida (95th ranked, 192 YPG), UNLV (45th, 137 YPG), @ Arizona (82nd, 181 YPG), Penn State (103rd, 209 YPG) and Illinois (111th, 224 YPG). Thus if Davis is healthy, expect him to be one of the frontrunners midway through the season. Wisconsin could be 5-0 at this point with Davis already over or approaching 1,000 yards. The Badgers will also get plenty of publicity and TV time which is needed if you want to win the Heisman. At 15/1 Davis is too good to pass up (as long as he doesn’t get hurt)!

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