by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 27, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 2, 2023
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: OK State +14, Texas -14; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: OK State +14, Texas -14; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: OK State +14, Texas -14; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 9-3 (7-2) (3rd place, Big 12)
Texas Longhorns: 11-1 (8-1) (1st place, Big 12)
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Oklahoma State Cowboys: won their last game at home against the BYU Cougars in overtime 40-34.
Texas Longhorns: won their last game at home against the Texas Tech Red Raiders 57-7.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Longhorns Preview and Analysis
Oklahoma State is entering this game with a 9-3 record overall and they have a 7-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against BYU 40-34. Alan Bowman was the starting QB and he completed 31/47 passes for 321 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Ollie Gordon led the team in rushing yards with 166 and 5 TDs. Leon Johnson III led the receivers with 132 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Nickolas Martin led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Texas is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have an 8-1 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Texas Tech 57-7. Quinn Ewers was the starting QB and he completed 17/26 passes for 196 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jaydon Blue led the team in rushing yards with 121 and 1 TD. Xavier Worthy led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Derek Williams Jr. led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Anthony Hill Jr. and Jett Bush each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jett Bush, Malik Muhammad, and Terrance Brooks each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Oklahoma State vs Texas Prediction
The current betting odds have Oklahoma State listed as a 14 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game will be the Big 12 Championship between Oklahoma State and Texas with this game being played at a neutral site in Arlington. Texas has looked really good in their games this season with their 11-1 record overall and their 8-1 conference record. Their loss came at a neutral site against Oklahoma and they are the only Big 12 team this season with just 1 conference loss. Oklahoma State has also looked really good this season with their 9-3 record overall and they had a much rougher start to the season before getting on track and going 7-2 in conference play. These two haven't faced each other this season and Oklahoma State didn't look great in their last game while Texas blew Texas Tech out, but OK State also looked a lot better in their games leading up to that last one while Texas was struggling more to get by in their games. OK State will also be looking to play a lot better after the way they had to come back at home against BYU and they are going to bring their best effort for one of the best teams in the country who is still holding out hope of getting to the college football playoff. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma State to cover the spread in this game.
Oklahoma State Texas Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 2, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Texas 33 OK State 26.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 11-5 ATS as an underdog. 18-10 ATS against conference opponents. 40-21 ATS after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games. 10-1 UNDER as a neutral field underdog. 9-3 UNDER off a home win against a conference rival.
Texas Longhorns: 3-12 ATS on a neutral field where the total is between 52.5 and 56. 2-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. 22-15 UNDER in all games. 9-5 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 9-4 UNDER after playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored.
Key Injuries
Oklahoma State Cowboys: E. Collins (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. T. Shettron (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Wright (LB) out for season - Redshirt. D. Stribling (WR) out for season - Arm.
Texas Longhorns: M. Murphy (QB) day-to-day - Shoulder. C. Baxter (RB) day-to-day - Hip. J. Brooks (RB) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We sure make it hard on ourselves to get to where we want to go. That was a really good win for our team. I'm very proud of them.” - Mike Gundy after his team’s win against BYU in their last game.
“Awesome. It was a great night. A great celebration. Proud of everybody who put a lot of work in to get us to this point. But we're not done. We stubbed our toe (against Oklahoma) early in October. We couldn't afford to stub our toe again.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against Texas Tech in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR Johnson III, Leon
WR Owens, Rashod
WR Presley, Brennan
TE Johnson, Josiah
QB Bowman, Alan
RB Gordon II, Ollie
FB Cassity, Braden
Texas Longhorns
WR Worthy, Xavier
WR Mitchell, Adonai
WR Whittington, Jordan
TE Sanders, Ja'Tavion
QB Ewers, Quinn
RB Baxter, CJ
Statistical Leaders
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Passing: A. Bowman (2808)
Rushing: O. Gordon II (1579)
Receiving: B. Presley (737)
Touchdowns: O. Gordon II (21)
Texas Longhorns
Passing: Q. Ewers (2709)
Rushing: J. Brooks (1139)
Receiving: X. Worthy (883)
Touchdowns: J. Brooks (11)
Coaches:
Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Gundy (19th season)
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
