New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/10/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, May 09, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, May 10, 2024
Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Knicks +7, Pacers -7; Over/Under:  223 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Knicks +7, Pacers -7; Over/Under:  222.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Knicks +6.5, Pacers -6.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Season Record

New York Knicks:  50-32 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
Indiana Pacers:  47-35 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
New York Knicks:  8-2 last 10
Indiana Pacers:  5-5 last 10


New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Preview and Analysis


The Knicks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 23-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers and the Indiana Pacers in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Pacers in game 2 of this series, Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 29 while Donte DiVincenzo and OG Anunoby each were next on the team with 28 points. Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Josh Hart led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 57% from the field, 46.7% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.2 PPG against them. The Knicks have an ATS record of 47-40-3 this season and their O/U record is 43-47.



The Pacers are entering this game with a 47-35 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the New York Knicks in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Knicks in game 2 of this series, Tyrese Haliburton led the team in points in that game with 34 while Obi Toppin was next on the team with 20 points. T. J. McConnell led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Pascal Siakam led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 51.6% from the field, 44.1% from 3-point range, and 58.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 120.2 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 48-40-3 this season and their O/U record is 48-41-2.


Knicks vs Pacers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Knicks listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Knicks and the 6th seeded Pacers for Round 2 of the NBA Eastern Conference playoffs. The Knicks have a 2-0 series lead after winning game 2 of this series on their home court. The Knicks have a lot of momentum on their side right now with 3 wins in a row and in both of those home games against the Pacers they were down but found a way to fight back and win the game. They had a much closer win in game 1 but they won the last game by 9 points, even though the 1st game was a lot closer. Now the Knicks are getting 7 points in this road and they weren't a bad road team this year with their 23-18 road record. The Pacers did look a lot better in their home games all season, but even in their last series against the 76ers, the Knicks looked really good in their 3 road games as they won 2 of them. The Pacers don't want to go down 3-0 in this series on their home court so they are going to be trying really hard to get this game back and they did put up a really good fight in the first 2 games on the road, but this is still too many points for a Knicks team that has played well in their road games in these playoffs. The Pacers could win this game to cut the series lead in half, but they aren't winning this game in a blowout. The best way to place a bet here is on the Knicks to cover the spread in this game. 

Knicks Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, May 10, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Pacers 123 Knicks 118.
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NBA Betting Trends


New York Knicks: 1-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 4-8 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 0-3 ATS after scoring 130 points or more. 8-3 OVER after 4 or more consecutive overs. 6-1 OVER in all playoff games. 

Indiana Pacers: 29-11 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 8-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 12-4 ATS after allowing 130 points or more. 9-3 OVER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 24-11 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 15-5 OVER against Atlantic division opponents. 

Key Injuries


New York Knicks:  O. Anunoby (SF) Ques Fri - Hamstring. M. Robinson (C) out for season - Ankle. B. Bogdanovic (SF) out for season - Wrist. J. Randle (PF) out for season - Shoulder.

Indiana Pacers:  B. Mathurin (SG) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“He’s a great leader, so I think the players all have respect for that, when a guy goes out and is willing to give whatever he has, and so that says a lot about him." - Tom Thibodeau on Jalen Brunson after his team’s win against the Pacers in game 2 of this series on Wednesday.


“Small-market teams deserve an equal shot. They deserve a fair shot no matter where they are playing.” - Rick Carlisle on the officiating after his team’s loss against the Knicks in game 2 of this series on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


New York Knicks
PG Jalen Brunson
SG Donte DiVincenzo
SF Josh Hart
PF OG Anunoby
C Isaiah Hartenstein

Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard
SF Aaron Nesmith 
PF Pascal Siakam 
C Myles Turner

Statistical Leaders


New York Knicks
PPG: J. Brunson (28.7)
APG: J. Brunson (6.7)
Reb/G: J. Randle (9.2)

Indiana Pacers
PPG: P. Siakam (21.7)
APG: T. Haliburton (10.9)
Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.1)

Coaches:
New York Knicks: Tom Thibodeau (4th season)
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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